La escuela de los momios

Empoli v Virtus Entella

Inicio: 2026-04-19 17:30 UTC

Final: Empoli 1–1 Virtus Entella

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Empoli (Local)

Predicción 44.64%2.24momio equitativo
EV -3.58%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -3.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.72%44.58%44.71%45.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.942.052.052.1651.55%48.70%48.78%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Virtus Entella (Visitante)

Predicción 24.52%4.08momio equitativo
EV +2.24%
Ventaja +0.536%
Kelly +0.706%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.75%24.55%24.38%26.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.683.654.1731.25%27.15%27.40%23.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.84%3.24momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.407%
Kelly -0.591%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.82%30.86%30.91%32.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.013.003.2036.36%33.20%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.75%EV -5.36%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.75%EV +2.24%E +0.536%K +0.706%G +0.016%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.49%EV -9.94%E -3.40%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 17:25
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 44.96%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.24%EV +1.99%E +0.479%K +0.630%G +0.013%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.80%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 17:05
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -3.58%E -1.66%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -1.93%E -0.483%K -0.644%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.75%EV -11.17%E -3.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 17:25
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -3.58%E -1.66%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -1.93%E -0.483%K -0.644%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.75%EV -11.17%E -3.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 17:25
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -1.93%E -0.483%K -0.644%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -12.10%E -4.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 17:20
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.03%EV -5.36%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.17%EV -3.16%E -0.799%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 17:20
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 44.32%EV -7.15%E -3.44%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -3.16%E -0.799%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.10%E -4.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 17:25
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 44.32%EV -7.15%E -3.44%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -3.16%E -0.799%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.10%E -4.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 17:25
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 17:25
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -5.93%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 17:20
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 17:24
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.71%EV -9.32%E -3.17%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 17:25
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.54%EV -7.15%E -3.44%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -8.09%E -2.71%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 17:20
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.54%EV -7.15%E -3.44%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -8.09%E -2.71%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 17:20
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 17:25
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.69%EV -11.48%E -4.00%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 17:25
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -2.84%E -0.903%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 15:30
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 17:09
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 17:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 17:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 17:20
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 17:20
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.28%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.52%EV -11.17%E -3.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 17:25
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.17%EV -15.18%E -5.52%K -8.67%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-19 17:25
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.29%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 17:20
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.21%EV -12.06%E -6.12%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -9.29%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.71%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-19 17:20
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.03%EV -11.61%E -5.87%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.23%EV -9.78%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.74%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 17:20
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.51%E -2.88%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 17:05
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.51%E -2.88%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -5.93%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 17:20
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 16:20
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 10:40
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:30
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -5.93%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 15:30
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.18%EV -12.06%E -6.12%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.65%EV -15.18%E -5.52%K -8.67%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-19 17:25
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:31
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.72%EV -5.36%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -12.10%E -4.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 17:25
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -9.83%E -4.87%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -2.84%E -0.903%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -9.83%E -4.87%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -2.84%E -0.903%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -9.83%E -4.87%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -2.84%E -0.903%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 16:30
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 12:55
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 17:15
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 17:20
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-19 17:24
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.47%EV -11.61%E -5.87%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 17:20
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -15.42%E -4.47%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 16:30
PMU (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.32%EV -13.40%E -6.91%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -16.64%E -4.89%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -5.93%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-19 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -21.55%E -6.73%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -13.64%E -4.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-19 17:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-04-19 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-04-19 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-04-19 17:20
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-04-19 17:25
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.99%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.14%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.87%2.9%2026-04-19 17:20