StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Empoli v Avellino

Matchstart: 2026-05-01 13:02 UTC

Slutresultat: Empoli 1–0 Avellino

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Empoli (Hemma)

Prognos 45.79%2.18rättvist odds
EV -1.54%
Fördel -0.717%
Kelly -1.34%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.15

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.77%45.69%45.78%46.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.892.042.052.1552.91%48.96%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Avellino (Borta)

Prognos 24.96%4.01rättvist odds
EV +4.82%
Fördel +1.15%
Kelly +1.51%
Tillväxt +0.073%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.90%24.92%24.95%28.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.153.603.524.2031.75%27.78%28.37%23.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.25%3.42rättvist odds
EV -2.02%
Fördel -0.602%
Kelly -0.858%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.93%29.39%29.26%31.31%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.883.123.153.3534.72%32.09%31.75%29.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Empoli (Hemma): 45.79%; Avellino (Borta): 24.96%; Oavgjort: 29.25%. För Avellino (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.01. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.20, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.82%.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.47%EV -5.21%E -2.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.90%EV +4.82%E +1.15%K +1.51%G +0.073%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.63%EV -8.16%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 12:59
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -0.174%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 12:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.02%EV -7.04%E -3.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -0.174%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 12:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.02%EV -7.04%E -3.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -0.174%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 12:59
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -0.174%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 12:59
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -0.174%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.28%EV -8.87%E -4.46%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -0.174%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.70%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -2.67%E -0.685%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 12:59
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -2.67%E -0.685%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -15.18%E -5.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.12%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.01%EV -3.17%E -0.817%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -8.74%E -2.80%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 12:58
Codere (IT)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.99%EV -5.21%E -2.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -3.92%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 13:00
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -10.70%E -5.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -15.18%E -5.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.77%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.48%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.51%EV -10.70%E -5.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -15.76%E -5.47%K -8.38%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-01 12:59
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -2.02%E -0.602%K -0.858%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 13:00
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 12:59
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 13:00
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -15.18%E -5.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.05%EV -11.16%E -5.75%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.95%EV -10.66%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.00%EV -9.91%E -3.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-01 12:58
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -9.33%E -4.71%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 12:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-01 12:59
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:59
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 12:59
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-01 12:59
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-01 13:00
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.70%E -5.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.08%EV -13.45%E -7.12%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -12.07%E -6.29%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -15.15%E -4.46%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:59
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:46
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.77%EV -2.00%E -0.934%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -18.89%E -5.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.06%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 13:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -18.89%E -5.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -18.89%E -5.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -20.14%E -6.29%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-01 13:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -21.39%E -6.79%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-01 13:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%1.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%1.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%1.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%1.8%2026-05-01 13:00