L’École des cotesFrançais
Empoli v Avellino
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Empoli (Local)
Prévision 45.79%2.18cote équitable
EV -1.54%
Avantage -0.717%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.77%45.69%45.78%46.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.892.042.052.1552.91%48.96%48.78%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Avellino (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.96%4.01cote équitable
EV +4.82%
Avantage +1.15%
Kelly +1.51%
Croissance +0.073%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.90%24.92%24.95%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.603.524.2031.75%27.78%28.37%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.25%3.42cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -0.602%
Kelly -0.858%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.93%29.39%29.26%31.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.123.153.3534.72%32.09%31.75%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.47%EV -5.21%E -2.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.90%EV +4.82%E +1.15%K +1.51%G +0.073% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.63%EV -8.16%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -0.174%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.02%EV -7.04%E -3.47%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -0.174%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.02%EV -7.04%E -3.47%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -0.174%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -0.174%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -0.174%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bovada | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.28%EV -8.87%E -4.46%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -0.174%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.70%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -2.67%E -0.685%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -2.67%E -0.685%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -15.18%E -5.23%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.12%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.01%EV -3.17%E -0.817%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -8.74%E -2.80%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.99%EV -5.21%E -2.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -3.92%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -10.70%E -5.49%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -15.18%E -5.23%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.77%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.48%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.51%EV -10.70%E -5.49%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -15.76%E -5.47%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -2.02%E -0.602%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -15.18%E -5.23%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.05%EV -11.16%E -5.75%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.95%EV -10.66%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.00%EV -9.91%E -3.22%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -9.33%E -4.71%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.70%E -5.49%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.08%EV -13.45%E -7.12%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -12.07%E -6.29%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -15.15%E -4.46%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 12:46 |
| Casumo | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.77%EV -2.00%E -0.934%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -18.89%E -5.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.06%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -18.89%E -5.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -18.89%E -5.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -20.14%E -6.29%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -21.39%E -6.79%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.16% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70% | 1.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70% | 1.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70% | 1.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70% | 1.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |