La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Empoli v Avellino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Empoli (Local)
Predicción 45.79%2.18momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.717%
Kelly -1.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.77%45.69%45.78%46.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.892.042.052.1552.91%48.96%48.78%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Avellino (Visitante)
Predicción 24.96%4.01momio equitativo
EV +4.82%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +1.51%
Crecimiento +0.073%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.90%24.92%24.95%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.603.524.2031.75%27.78%28.37%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.25%3.42momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -0.602%
Kelly -0.858%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.93%29.39%29.26%31.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.123.153.3534.72%32.09%31.75%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.47%EV -5.21%E -2.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.90%EV +4.82%E +1.15%K +1.51%G +0.073% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.63%EV -8.16%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -0.174%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.02%EV -7.04%E -3.47%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -0.174%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.02%EV -7.04%E -3.47%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -0.174%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -0.174%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -0.174%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bovada | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.28%EV -8.87%E -4.46%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -0.174%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.70%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -2.67%E -0.685%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -2.67%E -0.685%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -15.18%E -5.23%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.12%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.01%EV -3.17%E -0.817%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -8.74%E -2.80%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.99%EV -5.21%E -2.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -3.92%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -10.70%E -5.49%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -15.18%E -5.23%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.77%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.48%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.51%EV -10.70%E -5.49%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -15.76%E -5.47%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -2.02%E -0.602%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -15.18%E -5.23%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.05%EV -11.16%E -5.75%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.95%EV -10.66%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.00%EV -9.91%E -3.22%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -9.33%E -4.71%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.70%E -5.49%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.08%EV -13.45%E -7.12%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -12.07%E -6.29%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -15.15%E -4.46%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 12:46 |
| Casumo | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.77%EV -2.00%E -0.934%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -18.89%E -5.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.06%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -18.89%E -5.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -18.89%E -5.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -20.14%E -6.29%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -21.39%E -6.79%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.16% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70% | 1.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70% | 1.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70% | 1.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70% | 1.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |