مدرسة الاحتمالات

Empoli v Avellino

البداية: 2026-05-01 13:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Empoli 1–0 Avellino

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Empoli (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.79%2.18السعر العادل
EV -1.54%
الأفضلية -0.717%
Kelly -1.34%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.77%45.69%45.78%46.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.892.042.052.1552.91%48.96%48.78%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Avellino (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.96%4.01السعر العادل
EV +4.82%
الأفضلية +1.15%
Kelly +1.51%
النمو +0.073%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.90%24.92%24.95%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.153.603.524.2031.75%27.78%28.37%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.25%3.42السعر العادل
EV -2.02%
الأفضلية -0.602%
Kelly -0.858%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.93%29.39%29.26%31.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.123.153.3534.72%32.09%31.75%29.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.47%EV -5.21%E -2.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.90%EV +4.82%E +1.15%K +1.51%G +0.073%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.63%EV -8.16%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 12:59
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -0.174%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 12:59
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.02%EV -7.04%E -3.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -0.174%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 12:59
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.02%EV -7.04%E -3.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -0.174%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 12:59
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -0.174%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 12:59
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -0.174%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 46.28%EV -8.87%E -4.46%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -0.174%E -0.043%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.70%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -2.67%E -0.685%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 12:59
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -2.67%E -0.685%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -15.18%E -5.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.12%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.01%EV -3.17%E -0.817%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -8.74%E -2.80%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 12:58
Codere (IT)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.99%EV -5.21%E -2.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -3.92%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 13:00
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -10.70%E -5.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -15.18%E -5.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.77%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.48%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.51%EV -10.70%E -5.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -15.76%E -5.47%K -8.38%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-01 12:59
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -2.02%E -0.602%K -0.858%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 13:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 12:59
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.66%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 13:00
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -15.18%E -5.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.05%EV -11.16%E -5.75%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.95%EV -10.66%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.00%EV -9.91%E -3.22%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-01 12:58
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -9.33%E -4.71%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 12:59
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-01 12:59
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:59
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 12:59
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-01 12:59
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-01 13:00
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.70%E -5.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.08%EV -13.45%E -7.12%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -12.65%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -12.07%E -6.29%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -15.15%E -4.46%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:59
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:46
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -1.54%E -0.717%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -17.64%E -5.35%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.77%EV -2.00%E -0.934%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -18.89%E -5.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.06%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -18.89%E -5.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -18.89%E -5.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -20.14%E -6.29%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-01 13:00
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -21.39%E -6.79%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-01 13:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%1.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%1.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%1.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%1.8%2026-05-01 13:00