StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Empoli v Arezzo

Matchstart: 2026-09-11 17:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Empoli 0–1 Arezzo

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Empoli (Hemma)

Prognos 45.78%2.18rättvist odds
EV -3.87%
Fördel -1.84%
Kelly -3.52%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.35%45.91%45.75%48.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.771.971.992.1056.50%50.66%50.25%47.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Arezzo (Borta)

Prognos 25.03%3.99rättvist odds
EV +2.63%
Fördel +0.642%
Kelly +0.850%
Tillväxt +0.022%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.02%24.91%25.01%26.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.733.754.1029.41%26.82%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.19%3.43rättvist odds
EV -2.21%
Fördel -0.658%
Kelly -0.939%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.83%29.17%29.24%30.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.923.173.203.3534.25%31.54%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Empoli (Hemma): 45.78%; Arezzo (Borta): 25.03%; Oavgjort: 29.19%. För Arezzo (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.99. 5 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.10, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.63%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV +2.63%E +0.642%K +0.850%G +0.022%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 17:03
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV +0.130%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV +0.130%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 17:03
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -12.57%E -6.58%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV +0.130%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 10:50
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -12.57%E -6.58%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV +0.130%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:05
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:09
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:05
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:09
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:10
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -11.65%E -6.04%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -2.37%E -0.608%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 17:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.62%E -0.941%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.12%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 10:50
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.26%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.75%EV -3.87%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.98%EV -7.46%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 10:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -5.42%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 12:05
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 13:40
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -15.32%E -8.28%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 15:10
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.72%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.91%EV -5.42%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 12:10
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:00
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 10:49
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 10:50
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -15.32%E -8.28%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 17:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.33%EV -16.23%E -8.87%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.08%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 15:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.33%EV -16.23%E -8.87%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.08%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.33%EV -16.23%E -8.87%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.08%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 15:09
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 13:40
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.12%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 10:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 10:10
BetUS🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 10:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -9.37%E -4.73%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 17:05
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 09:05
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 09:05
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 09:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 09:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 09:04
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 48.26%EV -18.98%E -10.72%K -24.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.01%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-08 15:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -9.37%E -4.73%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 10:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.12%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 17:05
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 17:05
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 14:55
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 17:05
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 23:58
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 23:59
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 14:40
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.65%EV -11.20%E -5.77%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-09 10:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.33%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.81%EV -14.76%E -5.05%K -7.69%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-09 12:07
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.92%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.64%E -3.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -13.88%E -4.71%K -7.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-09 17:05
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.89%E -4.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-08 14:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%2.9%2026-09-09 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%2.9%2026-09-09 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%2.9%2026-09-09 17:20
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%2.9%2026-09-09 17:30
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 45.71%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.99%4.2%2026-09-09 17:25