Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Empoli v Arezzo

Início: 2026-09-11 17:00 UTC

Final: Empoli 0–1 Arezzo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Empoli (Local)

Previsão 45.78%2.18odd justa
EV -3.87%
Vantagem -1.84%
Kelly -3.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.35%45.91%45.75%48.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.771.971.992.1056.50%50.66%50.25%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arezzo (Visitante)

Previsão 25.03%3.99odd justa
EV +2.63%
Vantagem +0.642%
Kelly +0.850%
Crescimento +0.022%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.02%24.91%25.01%26.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.733.754.1029.41%26.82%26.67%24.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.19%3.43odd justa
EV -2.21%
Vantagem -0.658%
Kelly -0.939%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.83%29.17%29.24%30.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.923.173.203.3534.25%31.54%31.25%29.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Empoli (Local): 45.78%; Arezzo (Visitante): 25.03%; Empate: 29.19%. Para Arezzo (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.99. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.63%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV +2.63%E +0.642%K +0.850%G +0.022%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 17:03
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV +0.130%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV +0.130%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 17:03
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -12.57%E -6.58%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV +0.130%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 10:50
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -12.57%E -6.58%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV +0.130%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:05
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:09
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:05
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:09
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:10
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -11.65%E -6.04%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -2.37%E -0.608%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 17:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.62%E -0.941%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.12%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 10:50
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.26%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.75%EV -3.87%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.98%EV -7.46%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 10:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -5.42%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 12:05
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 13:40
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -15.32%E -8.28%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 15:10
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.72%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.91%EV -5.42%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 12:10
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:00
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 10:49
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 10:50
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -15.32%E -8.28%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 17:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.33%EV -16.23%E -8.87%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.08%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 15:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.33%EV -16.23%E -8.87%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.08%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.33%EV -16.23%E -8.87%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.08%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 15:09
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 13:40
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.12%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 10:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 10:10
BetUS🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 10:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -9.37%E -4.73%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 17:05
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 09:05
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 09:05
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 09:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 09:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 09:04
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 48.26%EV -18.98%E -10.72%K -24.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.01%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-08 15:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -9.37%E -4.73%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 10:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.12%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 17:05
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 17:05
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 14:55
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 17:05
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 23:58
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 23:59
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 14:40
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.65%EV -11.20%E -5.77%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-09 10:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.33%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.81%EV -14.76%E -5.05%K -7.69%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-09 12:07
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.92%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.64%E -3.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -13.88%E -4.71%K -7.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-09 17:05
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.89%E -4.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-08 14:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%2.9%2026-09-09 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%2.9%2026-09-09 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%2.9%2026-09-09 17:20
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%2.9%2026-09-09 17:30
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 45.71%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.99%4.2%2026-09-09 17:25