Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Empoli (Local): 45.78%; Arezzo (Visitante): 25.03%; Empate: 29.19%. Para Arezzo (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.99. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.10, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.63%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV +2.63%E +0.642%K +0.850%G +0.022% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:03 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV +0.130%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 14:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV +0.130%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 17:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -12.57%E -6.58%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV +0.130%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -12.57%E -6.58%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV +0.130%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 15:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 15:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 15:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 15:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -11.65%E -6.04%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -2.37%E -0.608%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.62%E -0.941%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.12%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 10:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.26%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.75%EV -3.87%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.98%EV -7.46%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -5.42%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -15.32%E -8.28%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-08 15:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.72%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.91%EV -5.42%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 10:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 10:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -15.32%E -8.28%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 17:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.33%EV -16.23%E -8.87%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.08%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 15:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.33%EV -16.23%E -8.87%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.08%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.33%EV -16.23%E -8.87%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.08%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 15:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.12%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 14:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 10:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 10:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 10:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -9.37%E -4.73%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 48.26%EV -18.98%E -10.72%K -24.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.01%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-09-08 15:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -9.37%E -4.73%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.12%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-08 17:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-08 23:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-08 23:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 14:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.65%EV -11.20%E -5.77%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-09 10:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.33%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.81%EV -14.76%E -5.05%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-09 12:07 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.92%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.64%E -3.95%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -13.88%E -4.71%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.89%E -4.38%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-08 14:40 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89% | 2.9% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89% | 2.9% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89% | 2.9% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89% | 2.9% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.71% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.99% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |