Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Empoli v Arezzo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-11 17:00 UTC

Score final : Empoli 0–1 Arezzo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Empoli (Local)

Prévision 45.78%2.18cote équitable
EV -3.87%
Avantage -1.84%
Kelly -3.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.35%45.91%45.75%48.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.771.971.992.1056.50%50.66%50.25%47.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Arezzo (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.03%3.99cote équitable
EV +2.63%
Avantage +0.642%
Kelly +0.850%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.02%24.91%25.01%26.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.733.754.1029.41%26.82%26.67%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.19%3.43cote équitable
EV -2.21%
Avantage -0.658%
Kelly -0.939%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.83%29.17%29.24%30.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.923.173.203.3534.25%31.54%31.25%29.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Empoli (Local) : 45.78% ; Arezzo (Visiteur) : 25.03% ; Match nul : 29.19%. Pour Arezzo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.99. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.10, soit une espérance positive de +2.63%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV +2.63%E +0.642%K +0.850%G +0.022%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 17:03
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV +0.130%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV +0.130%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 17:03
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -12.57%E -6.58%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV +0.130%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 10:50
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -12.57%E -6.58%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV +0.130%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:05
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:09
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:05
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:09
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:10
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -2.21%E -0.658%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -11.65%E -6.04%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -2.37%E -0.608%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 17:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.62%E -0.941%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.12%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 10:50
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.26%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.75%EV -3.87%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.98%EV -7.46%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 10:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -5.42%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 12:05
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 13:40
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -15.32%E -8.28%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 15:10
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.72%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.91%EV -5.42%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 12:10
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:00
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 10:49
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 10:50
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -15.32%E -8.28%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 17:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.33%EV -16.23%E -8.87%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.08%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 15:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.33%EV -16.23%E -8.87%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.08%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.33%EV -16.23%E -8.87%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.08%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 15:09
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 13:40
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.12%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 10:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 10:10
BetUS🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 10:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -9.37%E -4.73%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 17:05
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 09:05
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 09:05
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 09:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 09:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 09:04
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 48.26%EV -18.98%E -10.72%K -24.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.01%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-08 15:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -9.37%E -4.73%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 10:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.12%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 17:05
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 17:05
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 14:55
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 17:05
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 23:58
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 23:59
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 14:40
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.50%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.65%EV -11.20%E -5.77%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-09 10:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.33%EV -12.11%E -6.31%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.81%EV -14.76%E -5.05%K -7.69%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-09 12:07
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.92%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.64%E -3.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -13.88%E -4.71%K -7.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-09 17:05
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.89%E -4.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-08 14:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%2.9%2026-09-09 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%2.9%2026-09-09 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%2.9%2026-09-09 17:20
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%2.9%2026-09-09 17:30
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 45.71%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.99%4.2%2026-09-09 17:25