Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cremonese v Virtus Entella

2026-09-19 13:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cremonese (Local)

Prediction 50.43%1.98fair odd
EV -5.69%
Edge -3.04%
Kelly -6.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.44%50.43%49.94%52.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.771.791.8760.61%56.41%55.87%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virtus Entella (Visit)

Prediction 21.82%4.58fair odd
EV +0.349%
Edge +0.076%
Kelly +0.097%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.31%21.82%22.34%23.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.314.354.6027.03%23.21%22.99%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.75%3.60fair odd
EV -5.65%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.01%27.75%27.73%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.303.303.4032.79%30.34%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cremonese (Local): 50.43%; Virtus Entella (Visit): 21.82%; Draw: 27.75%. For Virtus Entella (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.58. 9 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.60, producing a positive expected value of +0.349%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.20%EV -9.72%E -5.43%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV +0.349%E +0.076%K +0.097%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.20%EV -9.72%E -5.43%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV +0.349%E +0.076%K +0.097%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.20%EV -9.72%E -5.43%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV +0.349%E +0.076%K +0.097%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.20%EV -9.72%E -5.43%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV +0.349%E +0.076%K +0.097%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.20%EV -9.72%E -5.43%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV +0.349%E +0.076%K +0.097%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.20%EV -9.72%E -5.43%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV +0.349%E +0.076%K +0.097%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.20%EV -9.72%E -5.43%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV +0.349%E +0.076%K +0.097%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.20%EV -9.72%E -5.43%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV +0.349%E +0.076%K +0.097%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.20%EV -9.72%E -5.43%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV +0.349%E +0.076%K +0.097%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.89%EV -12.24%E -7.04%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -5.10%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.36%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 14:21
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.81%EV -12.75%E -7.37%K -17.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.61%EV -5.10%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.81%EV -12.75%E -7.37%K -17.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.61%EV -5.10%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.83%EV -13.25%E -7.70%K -18.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 14:20
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.91%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.38%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.04%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 51.69%EV -16.78%E -10.17%K -25.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.80%EV -10.56%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.51%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000%17.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.92%EV -11.23%E -6.38%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.36%EV -14.27%E -3.63%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.72%EV -12.03%E -3.80%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-12 14:16
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.88%EV -11.23%E -6.38%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -17.10%E -4.50%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 49.59%EV -13.25%E -7.70%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.45%EV -17.10%E -4.50%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.97%EV -15.36%E -5.04%K -7.49%G +0.000%17.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.44%EV -12.24%E -7.04%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.25%EV -19.28%E -5.21%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.31%EV -12.59%E -4.00%K -5.85%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.