Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.81
assuming max odds 5.00
assuming max odds 3.76
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cremonese (Local): 53.07%; Virtus Entella (Visit): 20.70%; Draw: 26.23%. For Virtus Entella (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.83. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.50%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV +3.50%E +0.701%K +0.876%G +0.031% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-17 09:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.12%EV -10.31%E -6.10%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +1.43%E +0.292%K +0.367%G +0.005% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -12.43%E -7.54%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV +1.43%E +0.292%K +0.367%G +0.005% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-17 22:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.48%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.02%EV -0.844%E -0.176%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.50%EV -1.38%E -0.367%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-18 13:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 09:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -10.31%E -6.10%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 15:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -11.37%E -6.81%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 15:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.54%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -6.89%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 12:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.48%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 15:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.08%EV -8.72%E -5.07%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.70%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-17 18:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.45%EV -5.40%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.82%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-17 18:52 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 07:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-17 12:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 13:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 13:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -1.64%E -0.438%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 08:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-17 12:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 13:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 13:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 13:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 13:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.78%E -5.75%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-18 08:08 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.78%E -5.75%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-18 08:08 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-17 10:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-17 10:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-17 10:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-17 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-17 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-17 10:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-17 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-17 10:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-17 10:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 11:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -9.25%E -5.41%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-18 07:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.08%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -12.13%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-17 12:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.08%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -12.13%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-17 12:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.51%EV -8.72%E -5.07%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -12.13%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-18 13:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -10.37%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 07:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.86%EV -11.37%E -6.81%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -10.37%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-18 14:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.79%EV -11.37%E -6.81%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.50%EV -10.99%E -2.56%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-18 11:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.02%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -12.02%E -2.83%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 07:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.91%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -12.02%E -2.83%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-18 13:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.12%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-17 12:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.41%EV -8.72%E -5.07%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-17 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.55%EV -9.25%E -5.41%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-17 10:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.55%EV -9.25%E -5.41%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-17 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-17 12:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-17 12:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-17 12:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.78%E -5.75%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-17 10:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -11.37%E -6.81%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-18 13:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.17%EV -10.84%E -6.45%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -14.76%E -4.54%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-17 12:48 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.73%EV -14.03%E -8.66%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 20.58%EV -14.09%E -3.40%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.69%EV -16.07%E -5.02%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-09-18 13:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.03%EV -9.78%E -5.75%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -15.13%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -12.13%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-17 12:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 52.59%EV -13.50%E -8.28%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -17.20%E -4.30%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.98%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-17 10:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.03% | 1.1% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.03% | 1.1% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.03% | 1.1% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.03% | 1.1% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.75% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.32% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.5% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |