L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Cremonese v Virtus Entella

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 13:00 UTC

Score final : Cremonese 0–0 Virtus Entella

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cremonese (Local)

Prévision 53.07%1.88cote équitable
EV -3.94%
Avantage -2.18%
Kelly -4.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.65%53.20%52.97%55.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.621.731.741.8161.73%57.70%57.47%55.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Virtus Entella (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.70%4.83cote équitable
EV +3.50%
Avantage +0.701%
Kelly +0.876%
Croissance +0.031%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.76%20.59%20.76%21.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.434.405.0025.00%22.56%22.73%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.23%3.81cote équitable
EV -1.38%
Avantage -0.367%
Kelly -0.500%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.99%26.21%26.27%27.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.493.503.7631.25%28.63%28.57%26.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cremonese (Local) : 53.07% ; Virtus Entella (Visiteur) : 20.70% ; Match nul : 26.23%. Pour Virtus Entella (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.83. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.00, soit une espérance positive de +3.50%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV +3.50%E +0.701%K +0.876%G +0.031%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 09:01
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.12%EV -10.31%E -6.10%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +1.43%E +0.292%K +0.367%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -12.43%E -7.54%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV +1.43%E +0.292%K +0.367%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 22:10
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.48%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.02%EV -0.844%E -0.176%K -0.223%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.50%EV -1.38%E -0.367%K -0.500%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 13:30
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 09:49
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -10.31%E -6.10%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 15:04
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -11.37%E -6.81%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.54%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -6.89%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-17 12:50
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.48%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:05
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.08%EV -8.72%E -5.07%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.70%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-17 18:49
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.45%EV -5.40%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.82%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 18:52
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 07:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 12:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 13:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 13:30
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 13:30
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -1.64%E -0.438%K -0.597%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 08:55
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 12:50
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 13:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 13:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 13:05
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 13:05
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.78%E -5.75%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 08:08
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.78%E -5.75%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 08:08
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:20
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:20
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:30
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:20
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:20
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 11:30
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -9.25%E -5.41%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 07:20
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.08%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -12.13%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-17 12:49
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.08%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -12.13%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-17 12:50
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.51%EV -8.72%E -5.07%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -12.13%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 13:10
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -10.37%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 07:20
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.86%EV -11.37%E -6.81%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -10.37%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-18 14:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.79%EV -11.37%E -6.81%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.50%EV -10.99%E -2.56%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-18 11:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.02%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -12.02%E -2.83%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 07:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.91%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -12.02%E -2.83%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 13:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.12%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-17 12:50
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.41%EV -8.72%E -5.07%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-17 10:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.55%EV -9.25%E -5.41%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-17 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.55%EV -9.25%E -5.41%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-17 10:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-17 12:49
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-17 12:49
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-17 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.78%E -5.75%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-17 10:20
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -11.37%E -6.81%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 13:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.17%EV -10.84%E -6.45%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -14.76%E -4.54%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-17 12:48
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 52.73%EV -14.03%E -8.66%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.58%EV -14.09%E -3.40%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.69%EV -16.07%E -5.02%K -7.30%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-18 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.03%EV -9.78%E -5.75%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -15.13%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -12.13%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-17 12:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 52.59%EV -13.50%E -8.28%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -17.20%E -4.30%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.98%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-17 10:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.03%1.1%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.03%1.1%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.03%1.1%2026-09-18 15:10
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.03%1.1%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.75%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.32%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-09-18 15:10