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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Cremonese v Virtus Entella

Inicio: 2026-09-19 13:00 UTC

Final: Cremonese 0–0 Virtus Entella

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cremonese (Local)

Predicción 53.07%1.88momio equitativo
EV -3.94%
Ventaja -2.18%
Kelly -4.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.65%53.20%52.97%55.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.731.741.8161.73%57.70%57.47%55.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Virtus Entella (Visitante)

Predicción 20.70%4.83momio equitativo
EV +3.50%
Ventaja +0.701%
Kelly +0.876%
Crecimiento +0.031%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.76%20.59%20.76%21.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.434.405.0025.00%22.56%22.73%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 26.23%3.81momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.367%
Kelly -0.500%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.99%26.21%26.27%27.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.493.503.7631.25%28.63%28.57%26.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cremonese (Local): 53.07%; Virtus Entella (Visitante): 20.70%; Empate: 26.23%. Para Virtus Entella (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.83. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.50%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV +3.50%E +0.701%K +0.876%G +0.031%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 09:01
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.12%EV -10.31%E -6.10%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +1.43%E +0.292%K +0.367%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -12.43%E -7.54%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV +1.43%E +0.292%K +0.367%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 22:10
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.48%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.02%EV -0.844%E -0.176%K -0.223%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.50%EV -1.38%E -0.367%K -0.500%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 13:30
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 09:49
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -10.31%E -6.10%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 15:04
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -11.37%E -6.81%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.54%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -6.89%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-17 12:50
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.48%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:05
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.08%EV -8.72%E -5.07%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.70%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-17 18:49
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.45%EV -5.40%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.82%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 18:52
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 07:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 12:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 13:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 13:30
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 13:30
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -1.64%E -0.438%K -0.597%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 08:55
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 12:50
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 13:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 13:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 13:05
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 13:05
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.78%E -5.75%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 08:08
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.78%E -5.75%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 08:08
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:20
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:20
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:30
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:20
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:20
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 11:30
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -9.25%E -5.41%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 07:20
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.08%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -12.13%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-17 12:49
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.08%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -12.13%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-17 12:50
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.51%EV -8.72%E -5.07%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -12.13%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 13:10
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -10.37%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 07:20
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.86%EV -11.37%E -6.81%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -10.37%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-18 14:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.79%EV -11.37%E -6.81%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.50%EV -10.99%E -2.56%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-18 11:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.02%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -12.02%E -2.83%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 07:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.91%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -12.02%E -2.83%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 13:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.12%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-17 12:50
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.41%EV -8.72%E -5.07%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-17 10:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.55%EV -9.25%E -5.41%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-17 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.55%EV -9.25%E -5.41%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-17 10:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-17 12:49
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-17 12:49
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-17 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.78%E -5.75%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-17 10:20
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -11.37%E -6.81%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 13:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.17%EV -10.84%E -6.45%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -14.76%E -4.54%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-17 12:48
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 52.73%EV -14.03%E -8.66%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.58%EV -14.09%E -3.40%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.69%EV -16.07%E -5.02%K -7.30%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-18 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.03%EV -9.78%E -5.75%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -15.13%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -12.13%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-17 12:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 52.59%EV -13.50%E -8.28%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -17.20%E -4.30%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.98%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-17 10:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.03%1.1%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.03%1.1%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.03%1.1%2026-09-18 15:10
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.03%1.1%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.75%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.32%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-09-18 15:10