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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Cremonese v Virtus Entella

Início: 2026-09-19 13:00 UTC

Final: Cremonese 0–0 Virtus Entella

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cremonese (Local)

Previsão 53.07%1.88odd justa
EV -3.94%
Vantagem -2.18%
Kelly -4.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.65%53.20%52.97%55.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.731.741.8161.73%57.70%57.47%55.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Virtus Entella (Visitante)

Previsão 20.70%4.83odd justa
EV +3.50%
Vantagem +0.701%
Kelly +0.876%
Crescimento +0.031%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.76%20.59%20.76%21.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.434.405.0025.00%22.56%22.73%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.23%3.81odd justa
EV -1.38%
Vantagem -0.367%
Kelly -0.500%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.99%26.21%26.27%27.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.493.503.7631.25%28.63%28.57%26.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cremonese (Local): 53.07%; Virtus Entella (Visitante): 20.70%; Empate: 26.23%. Para Virtus Entella (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.83. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.50%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV +3.50%E +0.701%K +0.876%G +0.031%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 09:01
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.12%EV -10.31%E -6.10%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +1.43%E +0.292%K +0.367%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -12.43%E -7.54%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV +1.43%E +0.292%K +0.367%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 22:10
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.48%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.02%EV -0.844%E -0.176%K -0.223%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.50%EV -1.38%E -0.367%K -0.500%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 13:30
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 09:49
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -10.31%E -6.10%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 15:04
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -11.37%E -6.81%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -1.67%E -0.352%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.54%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -6.89%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-17 12:50
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.48%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:05
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.08%EV -8.72%E -5.07%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.70%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-17 18:49
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.45%EV -5.40%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.82%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 18:52
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 07:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 12:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 13:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 13:30
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 13:30
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -1.64%E -0.438%K -0.597%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 08:55
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 12:50
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 13:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 13:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 13:05
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 13:05
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.78%E -5.75%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 08:08
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.78%E -5.75%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 08:08
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:20
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:20
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:30
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:20
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 10:20
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 11:30
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -9.25%E -5.41%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 07:20
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.08%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -12.13%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-17 12:49
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.08%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -12.13%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-17 12:50
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.51%EV -8.72%E -5.07%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -12.13%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 13:10
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -10.37%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 07:20
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.86%EV -11.37%E -6.81%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -10.37%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-18 14:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.79%EV -11.37%E -6.81%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.50%EV -10.99%E -2.56%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-18 11:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.02%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -12.02%E -2.83%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 07:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.91%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -12.02%E -2.83%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 13:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.12%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-17 12:50
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.41%EV -8.72%E -5.07%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-17 10:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.55%EV -9.25%E -5.41%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-17 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.55%EV -9.25%E -5.41%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-17 10:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-17 12:49
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-17 12:49
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-17 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.78%E -5.75%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-17 10:20
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -11.37%E -6.81%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 13:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.17%EV -10.84%E -6.45%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -14.76%E -4.54%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-17 12:48
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 52.73%EV -14.03%E -8.66%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.58%EV -14.09%E -3.40%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.69%EV -16.07%E -5.02%K -7.30%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-18 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.03%EV -9.78%E -5.75%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -15.13%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -12.13%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-17 12:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 52.59%EV -13.50%E -8.28%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -17.20%E -4.30%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.98%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-17 10:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.03%1.1%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.03%1.1%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.03%1.1%2026-09-18 15:10
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.03%1.1%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.75%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.32%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-09-18 15:10