StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cremonese v Padova

Matchstart: 2026-09-06 17:31 UTC

Slutresultat: Cremonese 3–1 Padova

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cremonese (Hemma)

Prognos 47.56%2.10rättvist odds
EV -2.03%
Fördel -0.986%
Kelly -1.92%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.06

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.44%47.56%47.56%50.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.701.921.952.0658.82%52.12%51.28%48.54%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Padova (Borta)

Prognos 23.43%4.27rättvist odds
EV +0.749%
Fördel +0.174%
Kelly +0.227%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.75%23.49%23.44%25.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.603.943.954.3027.78%25.40%25.32%23.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.01%3.45rättvist odds
EV +1.54%
Fördel +0.441%
Kelly +0.617%
Tillväxt +0.010%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.21%28.94%29.00%30.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.903.203.203.5034.48%31.26%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Cremonese (Hemma): 47.56%; Padova (Borta): 23.43%; Oavgjort: 29.01%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.45. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.54%.

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -9.64%E -5.07%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -1.59%E -0.380%K -0.498%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV +1.54%E +0.441%K +0.617%G +0.010%5.0%2026-09-06 17:08
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.22%EV -5.84%E -2.95%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.29%EV -3.94%E -0.960%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -2.81%E -0.838%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 17:05
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -3.94%E -0.960%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 17:25
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.16%E -4.80%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 17:25
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -8.69%E -4.53%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:25
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -9.16%E -4.80%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 17:25
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.73%EV -5.36%E -2.69%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.22%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.05%EV -5.13%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:25
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.94%EV -5.84%E -2.95%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 17:05
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -13.31%E -3.60%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -9.64%E -5.07%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66%EV -9.64%E -5.07%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -13.31%E -3.60%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 17:25
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -14.87%E -8.31%K -18.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -3.94%E -0.960%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 17:10
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.93%EV -2.03%E -0.986%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.86%EV -0.891%E -0.211%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.21%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 17:25
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:05
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -5.11%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -9.64%E -5.07%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 17:10
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -13.31%E -3.60%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 17:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.99%EV -11.54%E -6.21%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12%EV -13.31%E -3.60%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.38%EV -15.82%E -8.94%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -3.94%E -0.960%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.25%EV -16.30%E -9.26%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.25%EV -16.30%E -9.26%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 17:10
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -7.45%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 17:25
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.72%EV -8.69%E -4.53%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -7.45%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:06
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.72%EV -8.69%E -4.53%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -7.45%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.12%EV -2.98%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.12%EV -2.98%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:15
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -3.94%E -0.960%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 17:25
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 17:04
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 17:05
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 17:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 17:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 17:05
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 17:05
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.68%EV -14.40%E -8.00%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-06 17:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.40%EV -19.15%E -11.27%K -27.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.97%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-06 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64%EV -5.84%E -2.95%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -11.51%E -3.77%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 17:20
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.70%EV -5.84%E -2.95%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 17:25
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 17:20
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.16%E -4.80%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.48%EV -8.21%E -4.26%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.42%EV -10.26%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.10%EV -13.54%E -4.54%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 17:03
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.02%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.20%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.79%EV -15.28%E -5.23%K -7.96%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-06 17:25
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.86%E -5.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 17:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-09-06 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-09-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-09-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-09-06 17:25
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68%2.1%2026-09-06 17:20