Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cremonese v Padova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 17:31 UTC

Score final : Cremonese 3–1 Padova

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cremonese (Local)

Prévision 47.56%2.10cote équitable
EV -2.03%
Avantage -0.986%
Kelly -1.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.44%47.56%47.56%50.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.921.952.0658.82%52.12%51.28%48.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Padova (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.43%4.27cote équitable
EV +0.749%
Avantage +0.174%
Kelly +0.227%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.75%23.49%23.44%25.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.943.954.3027.78%25.40%25.32%23.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.01%3.45cote équitable
EV +1.54%
Avantage +0.441%
Kelly +0.617%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.21%28.94%29.00%30.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.203.203.5034.48%31.26%31.25%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cremonese (Local) : 47.56% ; Padova (Visiteur) : 23.43% ; Match nul : 29.01%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.45. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.50, soit une espérance positive de +1.54%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -9.64%E -5.07%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -1.59%E -0.380%K -0.498%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV +1.54%E +0.441%K +0.617%G +0.010%5.0%2026-09-06 17:08
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.22%EV -5.84%E -2.95%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.29%EV -3.94%E -0.960%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -2.81%E -0.838%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 17:05
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -3.94%E -0.960%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 17:25
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.16%E -4.80%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 17:25
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -8.69%E -4.53%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:25
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -9.16%E -4.80%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 17:25
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.73%EV -5.36%E -2.69%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.22%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.05%EV -5.13%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:25
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.94%EV -5.84%E -2.95%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 17:05
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -13.31%E -3.60%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -9.64%E -5.07%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66%EV -9.64%E -5.07%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -13.31%E -3.60%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 17:25
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -14.87%E -8.31%K -18.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -3.94%E -0.960%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 17:10
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.93%EV -2.03%E -0.986%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.86%EV -0.891%E -0.211%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.21%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 17:25
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:05
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -5.11%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -9.64%E -5.07%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 17:10
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -13.31%E -3.60%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 17:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.99%EV -11.54%E -6.21%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12%EV -13.31%E -3.60%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.38%EV -15.82%E -8.94%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -3.94%E -0.960%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.25%EV -16.30%E -9.26%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.25%EV -16.30%E -9.26%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 17:10
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -7.45%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 17:25
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.72%EV -8.69%E -4.53%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -7.45%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:06
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.72%EV -8.69%E -4.53%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -7.45%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.12%EV -2.98%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.12%EV -2.98%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:15
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -3.94%E -0.960%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 17:25
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 17:04
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 17:05
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 17:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 17:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 17:05
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 17:05
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.68%EV -14.40%E -8.00%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-06 17:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.40%EV -19.15%E -11.27%K -27.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.97%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-06 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64%EV -5.84%E -2.95%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -11.51%E -3.77%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 17:20
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.70%EV -5.84%E -2.95%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 17:25
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 17:20
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.16%E -4.80%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.48%EV -8.21%E -4.26%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.42%EV -10.26%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.10%EV -13.54%E -4.54%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 17:03
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.02%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.20%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.79%EV -15.28%E -5.23%K -7.96%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-06 17:25
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.86%E -5.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 17:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-09-06 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-09-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-09-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-09-06 17:25
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68%2.1%2026-09-06 17:20