Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Cremonese v Padova

Начало: 2026-09-06 17:31 UTC

Итог: Cremonese 3–1 Padova

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (22 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Cremonese (Хозяева)

Прогноз 47.56%2.10справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.03%
Преимущество -0.986%
Kelly -1.92%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.06

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
45.44%47.56%47.56%50.65%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.701.921.952.0658.82%52.12%51.28%48.54%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Padova (Гости)

Прогноз 23.43%4.27справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.749%
Преимущество +0.174%
Kelly +0.227%
Рост +0.002%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.75%23.49%23.44%25.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.603.943.954.3027.78%25.40%25.32%23.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 29.01%3.45справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.54%
Преимущество +0.441%
Kelly +0.617%
Рост +0.010%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.21%28.94%29.00%30.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.203.203.5034.48%31.26%31.25%28.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Cremonese (Хозяева): 47.56%; Padova (Гости): 23.43%; Ничья: 29.01%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.45. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.54%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичья ▼МаржаОбновлено
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -9.64%E -5.07%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -1.59%E -0.380%K -0.498%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV +1.54%E +0.441%K +0.617%G +0.010%5.0%2026-09-06 17:08
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +0.749%E +0.174%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.36%E -0.399%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.22%EV -5.84%E -2.95%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.29%EV -3.94%E -0.960%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -2.81%E -0.838%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 17:05
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -3.94%E -0.960%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 17:25
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.16%E -4.80%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 17:25
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -8.69%E -4.53%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:25
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -9.16%E -4.80%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 17:25
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.73%EV -5.36%E -2.69%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.22%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.05%EV -5.13%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:25
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.94%EV -5.84%E -2.95%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 17:05
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -13.31%E -3.60%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -9.64%E -5.07%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66%EV -9.64%E -5.07%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -13.31%E -3.60%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 17:25
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -14.87%E -8.31%K -18.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -3.94%E -0.960%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 17:10
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.93%EV -2.03%E -0.986%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.86%EV -0.891%E -0.211%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.21%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 17:25
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:05
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -5.11%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -9.64%E -5.07%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 17:10
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -13.31%E -3.60%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 17:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.99%EV -11.54%E -6.21%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12%EV -13.31%E -3.60%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.38%EV -15.82%E -8.94%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -3.94%E -0.960%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.25%EV -16.30%E -9.26%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.25%EV -16.30%E -9.26%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 17:10
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -7.45%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 17:25
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.72%EV -8.69%E -4.53%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -7.45%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:06
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.72%EV -8.69%E -4.53%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -7.45%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.12%EV -2.98%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.12%EV -2.98%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:15
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -3.94%E -0.960%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 17:25
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 17:04
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 17:05
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 17:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 17:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -4.88%E -2.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 17:05
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 17:05
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.68%EV -14.40%E -8.00%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-06 17:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.40%EV -19.15%E -11.27%K -27.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.97%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -10.06%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-06 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64%EV -5.84%E -2.95%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -11.51%E -3.77%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 17:20
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.70%EV -5.84%E -2.95%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 17:25
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 17:20
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.16%E -4.80%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.48%EV -8.21%E -4.26%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.42%EV -10.26%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.10%EV -13.54%E -4.54%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 17:03
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.02%EV -12.02%E -6.50%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.20%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.79%EV -15.28%E -5.23%K -7.96%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-06 17:25
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -7.26%E -3.72%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.86%E -5.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 17:20
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-09-06 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-09-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-09-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-09-06 17:25
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68%2.1%2026-09-06 17:20