Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.48
assuming max odds 2.98
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cesena FC (Local): 39.12%; US Catanzaro 1929 (Visit): 33.49%; Draw: 27.39%. For US Catanzaro 1929 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.98, with an expected value of -0.185%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.91%EV -2.98%E -1.20%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.71%EV -1.19%E -0.403%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.38%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.91%EV -2.98%E -1.20%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.71%EV -1.19%E -0.403%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.38%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.23%EV -3.38%E -1.37%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.52%EV -0.185%E -0.062%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.25%EV -6.07%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.93%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.93%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.15%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.41%E -0.392%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.59%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -5.21%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.84%EV -3.05%E -0.862%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.52%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.26%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.15%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.18%EV -6.88%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.36%E -3.86%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.36%E -3.86%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.36%E -3.86%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.36%E -3.86%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -4.54%E -1.59%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -15.10%E -4.87%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -8.89%E -3.27%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -8.89%E -3.27%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -7.29%E -3.08%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -17.84%E -5.95%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.06%EV -7.68%E -3.25%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.57%EV -5.21%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 13:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -8.07%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.41%E -0.392%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.07%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.07%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.07%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -13.73%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -4.15%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -11.24%E -4.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -5.52%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.03%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -20.58%E -7.10%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.99%EV -20.58%E -7.10%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -16.26%E -6.51%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -21.13%E -7.34%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 13:51 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -11.98%E -5.33%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -11.98%E -5.33%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -3.53%E -1.23%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -11.98%E -5.33%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -3.53%E -1.23%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.98%E -5.33%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.68%EV -14.59%E -5.72%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.51%EV -12.76%E -5.72%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -4.54%E -1.59%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.08%EV -13.16%E -5.93%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.54%EV -13.73%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -13.94%E -6.34%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -11.24%E -4.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.69%EV -13.94%E -6.34%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.24%EV -14.59%E -5.72%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -8.26%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -13.94%E -6.34%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -12.24%E -4.67%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -12.36%E -3.86%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 37.89%EV -15.89%E -7.39%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 31.94%EV -14.59%E -5.72%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.17%EV -26.06%E -9.65%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 22.8% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.35% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.35% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.26% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.61% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.57% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.59% | 2.9% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |