A Escola das Odds

Cesena FC v US Catanzaro 1929

Início: 2026-03-21 14:04 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cesena FC (Local)

Previsão 39.12%2.56odd justa
EV -2.98%
Vantagem -1.20%
Kelly -2.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.78%39.16%39.20%40.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.332.302.4846.51%42.96%43.48%40.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

US Catanzaro 1929 (Visitante)

Previsão 33.49%2.99odd justa
EV -0.185%
Vantagem -0.062%
Kelly -0.094%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.57%33.45%33.57%34.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.772.802.9840.00%36.06%35.71%33.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.39%3.65odd justa
EV -1.41%
Vantagem -0.392%
Kelly -0.542%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.87%27.39%27.23%30.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.293.303.6037.04%30.39%30.30%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.91%EV -2.98%E -1.20%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.71%EV -1.19%E -0.403%K -0.610%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.38%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 14:00
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.91%EV -2.98%E -1.20%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.71%EV -1.19%E -0.403%K -0.610%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.38%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 13:59
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 39.23%EV -3.38%E -1.37%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.52%EV -0.185%E -0.062%K -0.094%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.25%EV -6.07%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 13:59
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.93%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.93%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.15%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 14:00
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.41%E -0.392%K -0.542%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 13:59
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.59%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -5.21%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.84%EV -3.05%E -0.862%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 13:59
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 13:59
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.52%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 14:00
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.26%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:00
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.15%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:00
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.18%EV -6.88%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 13:59
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.36%E -3.86%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 13:59
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.36%E -3.86%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 13:59
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.36%E -3.86%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.36%E -3.86%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 13:59
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -4.54%E -1.59%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -15.10%E -4.87%K -7.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:00
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -8.89%E -3.27%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:00
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -8.89%E -3.27%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 13:59
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 13:59
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -7.29%E -3.08%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -17.84%E -5.95%K -8.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 14:00
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 39.06%EV -7.68%E -3.25%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.57%EV -5.21%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 13:58
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -8.07%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.41%E -0.392%K -0.542%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.07%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 13:59
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.07%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 13:59
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.07%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -13.73%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 14:00
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -4.15%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 13:59
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -11.24%E -4.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 13:59
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -5.52%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-21 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 14:00
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 14:00
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 13:59
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.03%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -20.58%E -7.10%K -10.83%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-21 14:00
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.99%EV -20.58%E -7.10%K -10.83%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-21 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -16.26%E -6.51%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -21.13%E -7.34%K -11.24%G +0.000%18.2%2026-03-21 14:00
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:00
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 13:51
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:00
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:00
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:00
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:00
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:00
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -11.98%E -5.33%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 14:00
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -11.98%E -5.33%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -3.53%E -1.23%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -11.98%E -5.33%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -3.53%E -1.23%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:00
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.98%E -5.33%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.68%EV -14.59%E -5.72%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-21 14:00
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 40.51%EV -12.76%E -5.72%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -4.54%E -1.59%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 14:00
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 39.08%EV -13.16%E -5.93%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.54%EV -13.73%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-21 13:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -13.94%E -6.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -11.24%E -4.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-21 13:59
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.69%EV -13.94%E -6.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.24%EV -14.59%E -5.72%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -8.26%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-21 14:00
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -13.94%E -6.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -12.24%E -4.67%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -12.36%E -3.86%K -5.62%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-21 14:00
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 37.89%EV -15.89%E -7.39%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 31.94%EV -14.59%E -5.72%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.17%EV -26.06%E -9.65%K -15.33%G +0.000%22.8%2026-03-21 14:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-03-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.35%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-03-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.35%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-03-21 14:00
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.26%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.61%1.3%2026-03-21 14:00
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.57%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.59%2.9%2026-03-21 14:00