La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Cesena FC v US Catanzaro 1929
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cesena FC (Local)
Predicción 39.12%2.56momio equitativo
EV -2.98%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -2.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.78%39.16%39.20%40.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.332.302.4846.51%42.96%43.48%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
US Catanzaro 1929 (Visitante)
Predicción 33.49%2.99momio equitativo
EV -0.185%
Ventaja -0.062%
Kelly -0.094%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.57%33.45%33.57%34.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.772.802.9840.00%36.06%35.71%33.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.39%3.65momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.392%
Kelly -0.542%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.87%27.39%27.23%30.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.293.303.6037.04%30.39%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.91%EV -2.98%E -1.20%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.71%EV -1.19%E -0.403%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.38%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.91%EV -2.98%E -1.20%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.71%EV -1.19%E -0.403%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.38%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.23%EV -3.38%E -1.37%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.52%EV -0.185%E -0.062%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.25%EV -6.07%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.93%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.93%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.15%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.41%E -0.392%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.59%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -5.21%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.84%EV -3.05%E -0.862%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.52%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.26%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.15%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| BetUS | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.18%EV -6.88%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.36%E -3.86%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.36%E -3.86%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.36%E -3.86%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.36%E -3.86%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -4.54%E -1.59%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -15.10%E -4.87%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Betsson | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -8.89%E -3.27%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -8.89%E -3.27%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -7.29%E -3.08%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -17.84%E -5.95%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Bovada | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.06%EV -7.68%E -3.25%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.57%EV -5.21%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 13:58 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -8.07%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.41%E -0.392%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.07%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.07%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.07%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -13.73%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -4.15%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -11.24%E -4.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -5.52%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.03%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -20.58%E -7.10%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.99%EV -20.58%E -7.10%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -16.26%E -6.51%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -21.13%E -7.34%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 13:51 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -11.98%E -5.33%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -11.98%E -5.33%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -3.53%E -1.23%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -11.98%E -5.33%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -3.53%E -1.23%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.98%E -5.33%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.68%EV -14.59%E -5.72%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.51%EV -12.76%E -5.72%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -4.54%E -1.59%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.08%EV -13.16%E -5.93%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.54%EV -13.73%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -13.94%E -6.34%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -11.24%E -4.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.69%EV -13.94%E -6.34%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.24%EV -14.59%E -5.72%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -8.26%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -13.94%E -6.34%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -12.24%E -4.67%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -12.36%E -3.86%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 37.89%EV -15.89%E -7.39%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 31.94%EV -14.59%E -5.72%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.17%EV -26.06%E -9.65%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 22.8% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.35% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.35% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.26% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.61% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.57% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.59% | 2.9% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |