L’École des cotes

Cesena FC v US Catanzaro 1929

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 14:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cesena FC (Local)

Prévision 39.12%2.56cote équitable
EV -2.98%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -2.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.78%39.16%39.20%40.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.332.302.4846.51%42.96%43.48%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

US Catanzaro 1929 (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.49%2.99cote équitable
EV -0.185%
Avantage -0.062%
Kelly -0.094%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.57%33.45%33.57%34.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.772.802.9840.00%36.06%35.71%33.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.39%3.65cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.392%
Kelly -0.542%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.87%27.39%27.23%30.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.293.303.6037.04%30.39%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.91%EV -2.98%E -1.20%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.71%EV -1.19%E -0.403%K -0.610%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.38%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 14:00
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.91%EV -2.98%E -1.20%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.71%EV -1.19%E -0.403%K -0.610%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.38%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 13:59
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 39.23%EV -3.38%E -1.37%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.52%EV -0.185%E -0.062%K -0.094%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.25%EV -6.07%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 13:59
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.93%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.93%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.15%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 14:00
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.41%E -0.392%K -0.542%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 13:59
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.59%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -5.21%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.84%EV -3.05%E -0.862%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 13:59
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 13:59
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.52%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 14:00
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.26%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:00
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.15%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:00
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.18%EV -6.88%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 13:59
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.36%E -3.86%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 13:59
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.36%E -3.86%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 13:59
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.36%E -3.86%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.36%E -3.86%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 13:59
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -4.54%E -1.59%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -15.10%E -4.87%K -7.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:00
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -8.89%E -3.27%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:00
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -8.89%E -3.27%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 13:59
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 13:59
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -7.29%E -3.08%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -6.21%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -17.84%E -5.95%K -8.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 14:00
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 39.06%EV -7.68%E -3.25%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.57%EV -5.21%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 13:58
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -8.07%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.41%E -0.392%K -0.542%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.07%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 13:59
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.07%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 13:59
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.07%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -13.73%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 14:00
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -4.15%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 13:59
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -11.24%E -4.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 13:59
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -5.52%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-21 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 14:00
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 14:00
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 13:59
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.03%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -7.89%E -2.87%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -20.58%E -7.10%K -10.83%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-21 14:00
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -9.56%E -3.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.99%EV -20.58%E -7.10%K -10.83%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-21 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -16.26%E -6.51%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -21.13%E -7.34%K -11.24%G +0.000%18.2%2026-03-21 14:00
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:00
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 13:51
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:00
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:00
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:00
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:00
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:00
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -10.81%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -11.98%E -5.33%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -2.86%E -0.988%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 14:00
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -11.98%E -5.33%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -3.53%E -1.23%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -11.98%E -5.33%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -3.53%E -1.23%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:00
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.98%E -5.33%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.68%EV -14.59%E -5.72%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-21 14:00
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 40.51%EV -12.76%E -5.72%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -4.54%E -1.59%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 14:00
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 39.08%EV -13.16%E -5.93%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -12.91%E -4.97%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.54%EV -13.73%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-21 13:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -13.94%E -6.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -11.24%E -4.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-21 13:59
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.69%EV -13.94%E -6.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.24%EV -14.59%E -5.72%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -8.26%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-21 14:00
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -13.94%E -6.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -12.24%E -4.67%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -12.36%E -3.86%K -5.62%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-21 14:00
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 37.89%EV -15.89%E -7.39%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 31.94%EV -14.59%E -5.72%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.17%EV -26.06%E -9.65%K -15.33%G +0.000%22.8%2026-03-21 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-03-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.35%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-03-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.35%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-03-21 14:00
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.26%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.61%1.3%2026-03-21 14:00
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.57%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.59%2.9%2026-03-21 14:00