La scuola delle quote

Cesena FC v Spezia

Inizio: 2026-02-21 16:17 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cesena FC (Casa)

Previsione 43.99%2.27quota equa
EV -4.54%
Vantaggio -2.09%
Kelly -3.88%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.78%44.01%44.18%44.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.852.092.102.1754.05%47.78%47.62%46.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Spezia (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.27%3.81quota equa
EV +2.45%
Vantaggio +0.629%
Kelly +0.846%
Crescita +0.021%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.05%26.15%26.17%28.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.453.403.9031.25%28.97%29.41%25.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.74%3.36quota equa
EV -3.34%
Vantaggio -1.03%
Kelly -1.48%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.55%29.85%29.66%31.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.083.103.2537.04%32.42%32.26%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.57%EV -5.86%E -2.74%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV +2.45%E +0.629%K +0.846%G +0.021%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.97%EV -8.40%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:14
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.57%EV -5.86%E -2.74%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV +2.45%E +0.629%K +0.846%G +0.021%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.97%EV -8.40%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:14
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV +2.45%E +0.629%K +0.846%G +0.021%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 16:15
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.52%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.90%EV +1.93%E +0.497%K +0.669%G +0.013%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.57%EV -6.02%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 16:14
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.78%EV -6.74%E -3.18%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -0.175%E -0.046%K -0.062%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.23%EV -6.61%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 16:14
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -0.175%E -0.046%K -0.062%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -12.26%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 16:15
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -1.49%E -0.397%K -0.541%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -13.75%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 16:15
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.06%EV -4.98%E -2.31%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -2.80%E -0.757%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -6.32%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 16:15
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -12.02%E -6.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -2.80%E -0.757%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -14.35%E -4.98%K -7.63%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-21 16:15
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -9.29%E -3.05%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 16:15
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -8.50%E -4.09%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 16:12
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -8.50%E -4.09%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 16:14
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -3.34%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 16:13
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.32%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 16:15
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 16:14
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.02%E -6.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -14.35%E -4.98%K -7.63%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-21 16:15
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -9.29%E -3.05%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 16:15
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -9.29%E -3.05%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 16:15
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 16:15
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 16:15
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 16:14
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.32%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 16:14
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 16:14
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 16:15
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 16:15
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 16:14
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 16:14
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 16:15
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 16:15
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 16:14
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -12.02%E -6.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-21 16:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 44.02%EV -12.46%E -6.26%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.21%EV -13.75%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-21 16:15
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.52%EV -14.22%E -7.29%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.94%EV -13.75%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-21 16:14
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 44.86%EV -18.62%E -10.07%K -21.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.41%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.74%EV -19.70%E -7.30%K -11.59%G +0.000%20.5%2026-02-21 16:15
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-21 16:15
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 16:14
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:15
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:13
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:15
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:15
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:15
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:15
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:15
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:15
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:15
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:15
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:15
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-21 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.29%EV -12.02%E -6.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.06%EV -14.35%E -4.98%K -7.63%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-21 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -5.86%E -2.74%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 16:15
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -6.74%E -3.18%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -6.32%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 16:15
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -6.74%E -3.18%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -6.32%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 16:15
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 43.67%EV -12.90%E -6.52%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.02%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.31%EV -12.26%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-21 16:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-02-21 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-02-21 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-02-21 16:15
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-02-21 16:15
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.59%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.84%2.9%2026-02-21 16:15