La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cesena FC v Spezia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cesena FC (Local)
Predicción 43.99%2.27momio equitativo
EV -4.54%
Ventaja -2.09%
Kelly -3.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.78%44.01%44.18%44.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.092.102.1754.05%47.78%47.62%46.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Spezia (Visitante)
Predicción 26.27%3.81momio equitativo
EV +2.45%
Ventaja +0.629%
Kelly +0.846%
Crecimiento +0.021%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.05%26.15%26.17%28.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.453.403.9031.25%28.97%29.41%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.74%3.36momio equitativo
EV -3.34%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.55%29.85%29.66%31.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.083.103.2537.04%32.42%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.57%EV -5.86%E -2.74%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV +2.45%E +0.629%K +0.846%G +0.021% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.97%EV -8.40%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.57%EV -5.86%E -2.74%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV +2.45%E +0.629%K +0.846%G +0.021% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.97%EV -8.40%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV +2.45%E +0.629%K +0.846%G +0.021% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.52%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.90%EV +1.93%E +0.497%K +0.669%G +0.013% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.57%EV -6.02%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.78%EV -6.74%E -3.18%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -0.175%E -0.046%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.23%EV -6.61%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -0.175%E -0.046%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -12.26%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -1.49%E -0.397%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -13.75%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.06%EV -4.98%E -2.31%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -2.80%E -0.757%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -6.32%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -12.02%E -6.01%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -2.80%E -0.757%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -14.35%E -4.98%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -9.29%E -3.05%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Bovada | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -8.50%E -4.09%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 16:12 |
| BetUS | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -8.50%E -4.09%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -3.34%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 16:13 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.32%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.02%E -6.01%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -14.35%E -4.98%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -9.29%E -3.05%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -9.29%E -3.05%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.32%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -12.02%E -6.01%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.02%EV -12.46%E -6.26%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.21%EV -13.75%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.52%EV -14.22%E -7.29%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.94%EV -13.75%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 44.86%EV -18.62%E -10.07%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.41%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.74%EV -19.70%E -7.30%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| Unibet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:13 |
| Casumo | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| betPARX | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.29%EV -12.02%E -6.01%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.06%EV -14.35%E -4.98%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -5.86%E -2.74%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -6.74%E -3.18%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -6.32%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -6.74%E -3.18%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -6.32%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.67%EV -12.90%E -6.52%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.02%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.31%EV -12.26%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.56% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.59% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.84% | 2.9% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |