L’École des cotesFrançais
Cesena FC v Spezia
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cesena FC (Local)
Prévision 43.99%2.27cote équitable
EV -4.54%
Avantage -2.09%
Kelly -3.88%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.17
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.78%44.01%44.18%44.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.092.102.1754.05%47.78%47.62%46.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Spezia (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.27%3.81cote équitable
EV +2.45%
Avantage +0.629%
Kelly +0.846%
Croissance +0.021%
avec la cote maximale 3.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.05%26.15%26.17%28.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.453.403.9031.25%28.97%29.41%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.74%3.36cote équitable
EV -3.34%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -1.48%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.55%29.85%29.66%31.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.083.103.2537.04%32.42%32.26%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.57%EV -5.86%E -2.74%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV +2.45%E +0.629%K +0.846%G +0.021% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.97%EV -8.40%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.57%EV -5.86%E -2.74%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV +2.45%E +0.629%K +0.846%G +0.021% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.97%EV -8.40%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV +2.45%E +0.629%K +0.846%G +0.021% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.52%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.90%EV +1.93%E +0.497%K +0.669%G +0.013% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.57%EV -6.02%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.78%EV -6.74%E -3.18%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -0.175%E -0.046%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.23%EV -6.61%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -0.175%E -0.046%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -12.26%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -1.49%E -0.397%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -13.75%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.06%EV -4.98%E -2.31%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -2.80%E -0.757%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -6.32%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -12.02%E -6.01%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -2.80%E -0.757%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -14.35%E -4.98%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -9.29%E -3.05%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Bovada | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -8.50%E -4.09%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 16:12 |
| BetUS | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -8.50%E -4.09%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -3.34%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 16:13 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.32%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.02%E -6.01%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -14.35%E -4.98%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -9.29%E -3.05%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -9.29%E -3.05%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.32%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -12.02%E -6.01%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.02%EV -12.46%E -6.26%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.21%EV -13.75%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.52%EV -14.22%E -7.29%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.94%EV -13.75%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 44.86%EV -18.62%E -10.07%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.41%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.74%EV -19.70%E -7.30%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| Unibet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:13 |
| Casumo | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| betPARX | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.29%EV -12.02%E -6.01%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.06%EV -14.35%E -4.98%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -5.86%E -2.74%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -6.74%E -3.18%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -6.32%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -6.74%E -3.18%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -6.32%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.67%EV -12.90%E -6.52%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.02%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.31%EV -12.26%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.56% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.59% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.84% | 2.9% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |