مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cesena FC v Spezia

البداية: 2026-02-21 16:17 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cesena FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.99%2.27السعر العادل
EV -4.54%
الأفضلية -2.09%
Kelly -3.88%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.17

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.78%44.01%44.18%44.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.852.092.102.1754.05%47.78%47.62%46.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Spezia (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.27%3.81السعر العادل
EV +2.45%
الأفضلية +0.629%
Kelly +0.846%
النمو +0.021%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.05%26.15%26.17%28.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.453.403.9031.25%28.97%29.41%25.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.74%3.36السعر العادل
EV -3.34%
الأفضلية -1.03%
Kelly -1.48%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.55%29.85%29.66%31.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.703.083.103.2537.04%32.42%32.26%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.57%EV -5.86%E -2.74%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV +2.45%E +0.629%K +0.846%G +0.021%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.97%EV -8.40%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:14
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.57%EV -5.86%E -2.74%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV +2.45%E +0.629%K +0.846%G +0.021%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.97%EV -8.40%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:14
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV +2.45%E +0.629%K +0.846%G +0.021%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 16:15
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.52%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.90%EV +1.93%E +0.497%K +0.669%G +0.013%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.57%EV -6.02%E -1.90%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 16:14
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.78%EV -6.74%E -3.18%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -0.175%E -0.046%K -0.062%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.23%EV -6.61%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 16:14
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -0.175%E -0.046%K -0.062%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -12.26%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 16:15
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -1.49%E -0.397%K -0.541%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -13.75%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 16:15
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.06%EV -4.98%E -2.31%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -2.80%E -0.757%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -6.32%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 16:15
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -12.02%E -6.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -2.80%E -0.757%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -14.35%E -4.98%K -7.63%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-21 16:15
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -9.29%E -3.05%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 16:15
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -8.50%E -4.09%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 16:12
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -8.50%E -4.09%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 16:14
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%EV -4.54%E -2.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -3.34%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 16:13
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.32%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 16:15
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 16:14
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.02%E -6.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -14.35%E -4.98%K -7.63%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-21 16:15
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -9.29%E -3.05%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 16:15
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -9.29%E -3.05%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 16:15
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 16:15
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 16:15
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 16:14
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.32%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 16:14
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 16:14
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 16:15
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 16:15
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 16:14
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 16:14
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 16:15
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 16:15
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 16:14
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -12.02%E -6.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-21 16:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 44.02%EV -12.46%E -6.26%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.21%EV -13.75%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-21 16:15
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.52%EV -14.22%E -7.29%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.94%EV -13.75%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-21 16:14
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 44.86%EV -18.62%E -10.07%K -21.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.41%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.74%EV -19.70%E -7.30%K -11.59%G +0.000%20.5%2026-02-21 16:15
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-21 16:15
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.62%E -3.63%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 16:14
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:15
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:13
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:15
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:15
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:15
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:15
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:15
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:15
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:15
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:15
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:15
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -9.82%E -4.79%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-21 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.29%EV -12.02%E -6.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.06%EV -14.35%E -4.98%K -7.63%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-21 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -5.86%E -2.74%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 16:15
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -6.74%E -3.18%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -6.32%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 16:15
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -6.74%E -3.18%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -6.32%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 16:15
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 43.67%EV -12.90%E -6.52%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.02%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.31%EV -12.26%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-21 16:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-02-21 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-02-21 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-02-21 16:15
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-02-21 16:15
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.59%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.84%2.9%2026-02-21 16:15