Szkoła Kursów

Cesena FC v Padova

Początek: 2026-05-08 18:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Cesena FC 3–4 Padova

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

56 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Cesena FC (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 67.89%1.47kurs godziwy
EV -4.96%
Przewaga -3.54%
Kelly -12.39%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
64.34%67.86%67.89%69.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.261.361.361.4079.37%73.54%73.53%71.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Padova (Goście)

Prognoza 12.98%7.70kurs godziwy
EV +9.07%
Przewaga +1.08%
Kelly +1.23%
Wzrost +0.111%

przy maksymalnym kursie 8.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
11.37%12.94%13.04%15.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
6.006.916.908.4016.67%14.47%14.49%11.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 19.13%5.23kurs godziwy
EV +5.97%
Przewaga +1.08%
Kelly +1.32%
Wzrost +0.079%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.54

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
17.15%19.19%19.07%21.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.004.694.705.5425.00%21.32%21.28%18.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 68.73%EV -5.64%E -4.06%K -14.45%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.37%EV +9.07%E +1.08%K +1.23%G +0.111%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.90%EV -8.18%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 18:20
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 69.04%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -4.36%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 18:04
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 68.03%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +1.28%E +0.163%K +0.188%G +0.002%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 18:15
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 68.03%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +1.28%E +0.163%K +0.188%G +0.002%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 18:14
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 67.82%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.90%EV +0.626%E +0.081%K +0.093%G +0.001%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.27%EV -12.96%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 18:24
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 67.82%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.90%EV +0.626%E +0.081%K +0.093%G +0.001%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.27%EV -12.96%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 18:15
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -2.62%E -0.349%K -0.403%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.36%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 18:25
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -2.62%E -0.349%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -6.27%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:14
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -9.71%E -7.30%K -29.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -2.62%E -0.349%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -9.14%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 18:24
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 68.92%EV -10.39%E -7.87%K -32.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -2.62%E -0.349%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.18%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 18:23
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 66.66%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.50%EV -5.87%E -0.809%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -16.79%E -3.86%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-08 18:25
Codere (IT)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.32%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.28%EV -6.52%E -0.905%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.39%EV -0.530%E -0.102%K -0.126%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 18:15
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -8.35%E -6.19%K -23.86%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.77%EV -6.52%E -0.905%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -8.18%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:25
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.36%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 17:59
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -10.09%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 18:00
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -10.09%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 17:59
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -6.99%E -5.11%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.36%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:14
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.38%EV -6.99%E -5.11%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.14%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 18:25
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -6.99%E -5.11%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 18:25
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 67.84%EV -8.35%E -6.19%K -23.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -8.18%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 18:24
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 18:04
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -9.71%E -7.30%K -29.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -8.18%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-08 18:25
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -9.71%E -7.30%K -29.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -8.18%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-08 18:24
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -9.71%E -7.30%K -29.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -8.18%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-08 18:24
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -9.71%E -7.30%K -29.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 18:24
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -9.71%E -7.30%K -29.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.92%E -3.09%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 18:25
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 68.61%EV -13.78%E -10.85%K -51.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.45%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.94%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-08 18:24
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -6.99%E -5.11%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.41%EV -10.41%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07%EV -7.23%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 18:14
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -6.99%E -5.11%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.41%EV -10.41%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07%EV -7.23%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 18:14
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -9.14%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 17:59
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.14%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 18:24
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.09%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:59
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.09%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:59
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.09%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:59
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.09%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:59
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.09%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:00
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.09%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:59
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.09%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:59
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.09%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:59
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 17:59
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 17:59
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -8.35%E -6.19%K -23.86%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.33%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -13.92%E -3.09%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 18:25
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.35%EV -5.64%E -4.06%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.50%EV -14.95%E -2.28%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.54I 18.05%NM 17.15%EV +5.97%E +1.08%K +1.32%G +0.079%5.3%2026-05-08 18:24
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -8.35%E -6.19%K -23.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.60%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 18:00
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -9.71%E -7.30%K -29.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -15.60%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -13.92%E -3.09%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-08 17:59
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.83%EV -10.39%E -7.87%K -32.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -15.60%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -13.92%E -3.09%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-08 17:59
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 66.15%EV -9.71%E -7.30%K -29.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.53%EV -15.60%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.32%EV -17.17%E -3.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-08 18:24
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 68.27%EV -14.46%E -11.48%K -55.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.23%EV -15.60%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.50%EV -11.05%E -2.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-08 18:05
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.29%EV -8.35%E -6.19%K -23.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -18.85%E -3.02%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -4.36%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 18:05
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 66.42%EV -11.07%E -8.45%K -35.70%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.03%EV -19.50%E -3.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.55%EV -14.88%E -3.34%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-08 18:14
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -15.83%E -3.60%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -15.83%E -3.60%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 18:00
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -15.83%E -3.60%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 17:59
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.63%EV -10.39%E -7.87%K -32.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.66%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -10.09%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-08 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 64.34%EV -9.71%E -7.30%K -29.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.39%EV -23.48%E -5.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-08 18:24
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.04%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-05-08 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.04%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-05-08 18:25
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 69.04%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-05-08 18:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.38%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-05-08 18:24
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.99%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.03%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.97%1.4%2026-05-08 18:24