مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cesena FC v Padova

البداية: 2026-05-08 18:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cesena FC 3–4 Padova

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cesena FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 67.89%1.47السعر العادل
EV -4.96%
الأفضلية -3.54%
Kelly -12.39%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
64.34%67.86%67.89%69.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.261.361.361.4079.37%73.54%73.53%71.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Padova (الضيف)

التنبؤ 12.98%7.70السعر العادل
EV +9.07%
الأفضلية +1.08%
Kelly +1.23%
النمو +0.111%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.37%12.94%13.04%15.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.006.916.908.4016.67%14.47%14.49%11.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 19.13%5.23السعر العادل
EV +5.97%
الأفضلية +1.08%
Kelly +1.32%
النمو +0.079%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.15%19.19%19.07%21.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.694.705.5425.00%21.32%21.28%18.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 68.73%EV -5.64%E -4.06%K -14.45%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.37%EV +9.07%E +1.08%K +1.23%G +0.111%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.90%EV -8.18%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 18:20
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 69.04%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -4.36%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 18:04
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 68.03%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +1.28%E +0.163%K +0.188%G +0.002%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 18:15
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 68.03%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +1.28%E +0.163%K +0.188%G +0.002%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 18:14
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 67.82%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.90%EV +0.626%E +0.081%K +0.093%G +0.001%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.27%EV -12.96%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 18:24
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 67.82%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.90%EV +0.626%E +0.081%K +0.093%G +0.001%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.27%EV -12.96%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 18:15
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -2.62%E -0.349%K -0.403%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.36%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 18:25
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -2.62%E -0.349%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -6.27%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:14
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -9.71%E -7.30%K -29.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -2.62%E -0.349%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -9.14%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 18:24
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 68.92%EV -10.39%E -7.87%K -32.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -2.62%E -0.349%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.18%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 18:23
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 66.66%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.50%EV -5.87%E -0.809%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -16.79%E -3.86%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-08 18:25
Codere (IT)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.32%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.28%EV -6.52%E -0.905%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.39%EV -0.530%E -0.102%K -0.126%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 18:15
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -8.35%E -6.19%K -23.86%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.77%EV -6.52%E -0.905%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -8.18%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:25
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.36%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 17:59
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -10.09%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 18:00
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -10.09%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 17:59
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -6.99%E -5.11%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.36%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:14
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.38%EV -6.99%E -5.11%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.14%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 18:25
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -6.99%E -5.11%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 18:25
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 67.84%EV -8.35%E -6.19%K -23.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -8.18%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 18:24
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 18:04
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -9.71%E -7.30%K -29.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -8.18%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-08 18:25
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -9.71%E -7.30%K -29.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -8.18%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-08 18:24
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -9.71%E -7.30%K -29.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -8.18%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-08 18:24
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -9.71%E -7.30%K -29.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 18:24
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -9.71%E -7.30%K -29.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.92%E -3.09%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 18:25
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 68.61%EV -13.78%E -10.85%K -51.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.45%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.94%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-08 18:24
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -6.99%E -5.11%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.41%EV -10.41%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07%EV -7.23%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 18:14
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -6.99%E -5.11%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.41%EV -10.41%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07%EV -7.23%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 18:14
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -9.14%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 17:59
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.14%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 18:24
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.09%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:59
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.09%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:59
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.09%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:59
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.09%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:59
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.09%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:00
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.09%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:59
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.09%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:59
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.09%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:59
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 17:59
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 17:59
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -8.35%E -6.19%K -23.86%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.33%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -13.92%E -3.09%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 18:25
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.35%EV -5.64%E -4.06%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.50%EV -14.95%E -2.28%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.54I 18.05%NM 17.15%EV +5.97%E +1.08%K +1.32%G +0.079%5.3%2026-05-08 18:24
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -8.35%E -6.19%K -23.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.60%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 18:00
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -9.71%E -7.30%K -29.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -15.60%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -13.92%E -3.09%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-08 17:59
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.83%EV -10.39%E -7.87%K -32.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -15.60%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -13.92%E -3.09%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-08 17:59
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 66.15%EV -9.71%E -7.30%K -29.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.53%EV -15.60%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.32%EV -17.17%E -3.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-08 18:24
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 68.27%EV -14.46%E -11.48%K -55.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.23%EV -15.60%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.50%EV -11.05%E -2.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-08 18:05
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.29%EV -8.35%E -6.19%K -23.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -18.85%E -3.02%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -4.36%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 18:05
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 66.42%EV -11.07%E -8.45%K -35.70%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.03%EV -19.50%E -3.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.55%EV -14.88%E -3.34%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-08 18:14
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -15.83%E -3.60%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -15.83%E -3.60%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 18:00
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -15.83%E -3.60%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 17:59
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.63%EV -10.39%E -7.87%K -32.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.66%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -10.09%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-08 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 64.34%EV -9.71%E -7.30%K -29.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.39%EV -23.48%E -5.87%K -7.83%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-08 18:24
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.04%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-05-08 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.04%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-05-08 18:25
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 69.04%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-05-08 18:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.38%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-05-08 18:24
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.99%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.03%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.97%1.4%2026-05-08 18:24