Language:English
Carrarese v Cesena FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Carrarese (Local)
Prediction 39.22%2.55fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.777%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.67%39.33%39.20%42.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.302.302.5048.31%43.55%43.48%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cesena FC (Visit)
Prediction 32.54%3.07fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -0.797%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.45%32.47%32.58%33.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.852.873.0040.00%35.04%34.90%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.24%3.54fair odd
EV -0.595%
Edge -0.169%
Kelly -0.236%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.19%28.20%28.21%29.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.283.253.5233.33%30.52%30.77%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carrarese (Local): 39.22%; Cesena FC (Visit): 32.54%; Draw: 28.24%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.52, with an expected value of -0.595%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.49%EV -1.94%E -0.777%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.18%EV -2.72%E -0.908%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.33%EV -7.37%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.67%EV -6.95%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -11.04%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.67%EV -6.95%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -11.04%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.22%EV -5.47%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -7.92%E -2.80%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -11.04%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.22%EV -5.47%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -7.92%E -2.80%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -11.04%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -1.16%E -0.331%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.29%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.40%EV -7.83%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.63%EV -5.32%E -1.83%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -0.595%E -0.169%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.83%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.83%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -6.29%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.83%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -6.29%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.83%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -10.52%E -3.83%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -7.83%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -4.02%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.15%E -4.50%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -1.16%E -0.331%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.52%E -3.83%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.29%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.32%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.51%EV -6.62%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -10.52%E -3.83%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -12.15%E -4.50%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -12.15%E -4.50%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -12.15%E -4.50%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -15.28%E -5.09%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.70%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.13%EV -9.55%E -3.43%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.18%EV -10.48%E -3.31%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -14.75%E -5.63%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.74%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.96%EV -18.66%E -7.46%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -15.28%E -5.09%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -13.71%E -6.23%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -12.15%E -4.50%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.55%EV -13.71%E -6.23%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.83%EV -13.78%E -5.20%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.62%EV -11.04%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -14.89%E -6.86%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -2.57%E -0.745%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -14.89%E -6.86%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -2.57%E -0.745%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -14.89%E -6.86%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -2.57%E -0.745%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -14.89%E -6.86%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -2.57%E -0.745%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -14.89%E -6.86%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -2.57%E -0.745%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -14.89%E -6.86%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -2.57%E -0.745%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -14.89%E -6.86%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -2.57%E -0.745%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -15.67%E -7.29%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -16.06%E -7.51%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -16.06%E -7.51%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.53%EV -16.85%E -7.95%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -4.02%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.72%EV -18.81%E -9.09%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.49%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.52% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.62% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 1.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.37% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14% | 2.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |