مدرسة الاحتمالات

Carrarese v Cesena FC

البداية: 2026-05-01 13:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Carrarese 0–0 Cesena FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Carrarese (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.22%2.55السعر العادل
EV -1.94%
الأفضلية -0.777%
Kelly -1.29%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.67%39.33%39.20%42.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.072.302.302.5048.31%43.55%43.48%40.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cesena FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 32.54%3.07السعر العادل
EV -2.39%
الأفضلية -0.797%
Kelly -1.20%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.45%32.47%32.58%33.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.852.873.0040.00%35.04%34.90%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.24%3.54السعر العادل
EV -0.595%
الأفضلية -0.169%
Kelly -0.236%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.52

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.19%28.20%28.21%29.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.283.253.5233.33%30.52%30.77%28.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.49%EV -1.94%E -0.777%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.18%EV -2.72%E -0.908%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.33%EV -7.37%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 12:59
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.67%EV -6.95%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -11.04%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 12:59
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.67%EV -6.95%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -11.04%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 12:59
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Bovada2.41I 41.49%NM 38.22%EV -5.47%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -7.92%E -2.80%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -11.04%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:59
BetUS2.41I 41.49%NM 38.22%EV -5.47%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -7.92%E -2.80%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -11.04%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -1.16%E -0.331%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 13:00
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.29%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 12:59
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 13:00
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 12:59
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 12:59
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.40%EV -7.83%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.63%EV -5.32%E -1.83%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -0.595%E -0.169%K -0.236%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 12:59
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.83%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 12:59
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.83%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -6.29%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 12:59
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.83%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -6.29%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.83%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -10.52%E -3.83%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 12:59
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -7.83%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -4.02%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.15%E -4.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -1.16%E -0.331%K -0.464%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 13:00
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.52%E -3.83%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.29%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-01 13:00
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.32%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.51%EV -6.62%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -10.52%E -3.83%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -12.15%E -4.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-01 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -12.15%E -4.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -12.15%E -4.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -15.28%E -5.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-01 12:59
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.70%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.13%EV -9.55%E -3.43%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.18%EV -10.48%E -3.31%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-01 12:58
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -14.75%E -5.63%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.74%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.96%EV -18.66%E -7.46%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -15.28%E -5.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -13.71%E -6.23%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -12.15%E -4.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.55%EV -13.71%E -6.23%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.83%EV -13.78%E -5.20%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.62%EV -11.04%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -14.89%E -6.86%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -2.57%E -0.745%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -14.89%E -6.86%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -2.57%E -0.745%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 13:00
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -14.89%E -6.86%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -2.57%E -0.745%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -14.89%E -6.86%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -2.57%E -0.745%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -14.89%E -6.86%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -2.57%E -0.745%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -14.89%E -6.86%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -2.57%E -0.745%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 13:00
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -14.89%E -6.86%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -2.57%E -0.745%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -15.67%E -7.29%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -16.06%E -7.51%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 12:59
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -16.06%E -7.51%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 42.53%EV -16.85%E -7.95%K -15.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -4.02%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 13:00
PMU (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.72%EV -18.81%E -9.09%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.49%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-01 13:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%1.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.37%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14%2.4%2026-05-01 13:00