A Escola das Odds

Carrarese v Cesena FC

Início: 2026-05-01 13:02 UTC

Final: Carrarese 0–0 Cesena FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Carrarese (Local)

Previsão 39.22%2.55odd justa
EV -1.94%
Vantagem -0.777%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.67%39.33%39.20%42.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.072.302.302.5048.31%43.55%43.48%40.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cesena FC (Visitante)

Previsão 32.54%3.07odd justa
EV -2.39%
Vantagem -0.797%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.45%32.47%32.58%33.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.852.873.0040.00%35.04%34.90%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.24%3.54odd justa
EV -0.595%
Vantagem -0.169%
Kelly -0.236%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.19%28.20%28.21%29.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.283.253.5233.33%30.52%30.77%28.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.49%EV -1.94%E -0.777%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.18%EV -2.72%E -0.908%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.33%EV -7.37%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 12:59
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.67%EV -6.95%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -11.04%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 12:59
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -2.73%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.67%EV -6.95%E -2.43%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -11.04%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 12:59
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Bovada2.41I 41.49%NM 38.22%EV -5.47%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -7.92%E -2.80%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -11.04%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:59
BetUS2.41I 41.49%NM 38.22%EV -5.47%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -7.92%E -2.80%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -11.04%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -1.16%E -0.331%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 13:00
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.29%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 12:59
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 13:00
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 12:59
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.65%E -2.79%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 12:59
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.40%EV -7.83%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.63%EV -5.32%E -1.83%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -0.595%E -0.169%K -0.236%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 12:59
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.83%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 12:59
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.83%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -6.29%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 12:59
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.83%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -6.29%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.83%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -10.52%E -3.83%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 12:59
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -7.83%E -3.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -4.02%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -12.15%E -4.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -1.16%E -0.331%K -0.464%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 13:00
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.52%E -3.83%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.29%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-01 13:00
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.32%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.51%EV -6.62%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -10.52%E -3.83%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.22%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -12.15%E -4.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-01 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -12.15%E -4.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -12.15%E -4.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.63%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.79%E -4.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -15.28%E -5.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-01 12:59
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.70%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.13%EV -9.55%E -3.43%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.18%EV -10.48%E -3.31%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-01 12:58
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -14.75%E -5.63%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.74%EV -11.75%E -5.22%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.96%EV -18.66%E -7.46%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -15.28%E -5.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -13.71%E -6.23%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -12.15%E -4.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.55%EV -13.71%E -6.23%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.83%EV -13.78%E -5.20%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.62%EV -11.04%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -14.89%E -6.86%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -2.57%E -0.745%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -14.89%E -6.86%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -2.57%E -0.745%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 13:00
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -14.89%E -6.86%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -2.57%E -0.745%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -14.89%E -6.86%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -2.57%E -0.745%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -14.89%E -6.86%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -2.57%E -0.745%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -14.89%E -6.86%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -2.57%E -0.745%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 13:00
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -14.89%E -6.86%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -2.57%E -0.745%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -15.67%E -7.29%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -16.06%E -7.51%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 12:59
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -16.06%E -7.51%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -2.39%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -3.98%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 42.53%EV -16.85%E -7.95%K -15.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -4.02%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 13:00
PMU (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.72%EV -18.81%E -9.09%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.49%EV -5.64%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%1.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.37%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14%2.4%2026-05-01 13:00