Language:English
Avellino v US Catanzaro 1929
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Avellino (Local)
Prediction 35.10%2.85fair odd
EV -0.665%
Edge -0.235%
Kelly -0.363%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.38%35.02%35.16%37.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.592.602.8341.67%38.67%38.46%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
US Catanzaro 1929 (Visit)
Prediction 35.13%2.85fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.584%
Kelly -0.909%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.91%35.07%35.15%37.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.622.652.8042.55%38.19%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.77%3.36fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.534%
Kelly -0.766%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.67%29.91%29.70%33.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.633.063.103.3038.02%32.66%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Avellino (Local): 35.10%; US Catanzaro 1929 (Visit): 35.13%; Draw: 29.77%. For Avellino (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.83, with an expected value of -0.665%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.25%EV -0.665%E -0.235%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.99%EV -2.69%E -0.971%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -3.47%E -1.26%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -13.93%E -5.69%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -1.76%E -0.534%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.91%EV -6.20%E -2.32%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -1.64%E -0.584%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -15.69%E -6.54%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.73%EV -6.63%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.47%EV -5.85%E -2.18%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 15:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -6.98%E -2.64%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -3.39%E -1.23%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.98%E -2.64%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.98%E -2.64%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -6.98%E -2.64%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -8.66%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 34.67%EV -7.33%E -2.78%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.41%EV -6.55%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 30.92%EV -11.88%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 34.67%EV -7.33%E -2.78%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.41%EV -6.55%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 30.92%EV -11.88%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.66%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.01%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -19.62%E -7.27%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.66%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.66%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.17%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.17%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.17%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.18%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -19.62%E -7.27%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -17.44%E -7.42%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.59%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.21%EV -7.61%E -2.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.21%EV -21.71%E -8.25%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.49%E -4.11%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.42%E -4.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:13 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -7.61%E -2.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -7.61%E -2.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.77%EV -9.72%E -3.78%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.49%EV -9.80%E -3.23%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 15:11 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.17%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.24%EV -13.30%E -5.39%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.24%EV -13.23%E -5.36%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.51%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -14.00%E -5.72%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -7.12%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 15:13 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -14.00%E -5.72%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.66%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -14.00%E -5.72%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.32%EV -8.66%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 15:13 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.66%EV -15.76%E -6.57%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -10.42%E -4.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.84%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.86% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.71% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |