Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Avellino v US Catanzaro 1929

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 15:17 UTC

Score final : Avellino 1–1 US Catanzaro 1929

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Avellino (Local)

Prévision 35.10%2.85cote équitable
EV -0.665%
Avantage -0.235%
Kelly -0.363%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.38%35.02%35.16%37.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.592.602.8341.67%38.67%38.46%35.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

US Catanzaro 1929 (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.13%2.85cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -0.584%
Kelly -0.909%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.91%35.07%35.15%37.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.622.652.8042.55%38.19%37.74%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.77%3.36cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -0.534%
Kelly -0.766%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.67%29.91%29.70%33.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.633.063.103.3038.02%32.66%32.26%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Avellino (Local) : 35.10% ; US Catanzaro 1929 (Visiteur) : 35.13% ; Match nul : 29.77%. Pour Avellino (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.85. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.83, pour une espérance de -0.665% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.25%EV -0.665%E -0.235%K -0.363%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.99%EV -2.69%E -0.971%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 15:14
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -3.47%E -1.26%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -13.93%E -5.69%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 15:15
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -1.76%E -0.534%K -0.766%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 15:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.91%EV -6.20%E -2.32%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 15:14
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -1.64%E -0.584%K -0.909%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 15:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -15.69%E -6.54%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 15:15
BetUS🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 34.73%EV -6.63%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.47%EV -5.85%E -2.18%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 15:09
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -6.98%E -2.64%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -3.39%E -1.23%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 15:14
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.98%E -2.64%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 15:15
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.98%E -2.64%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 15:15
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -6.98%E -2.64%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -8.66%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 15:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 34.67%EV -7.33%E -2.78%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.41%EV -6.55%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.92%EV -11.88%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 34.67%EV -7.33%E -2.78%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.41%EV -6.55%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.92%EV -11.88%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 15:14
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:14
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:14
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.66%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 15:14
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 15:14
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 15:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 15:14
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.01%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -19.62%E -7.27%K -11.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 15:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.66%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 15:14
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.66%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 15:14
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.17%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 15:14
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.17%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.17%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 15:15
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.18%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -19.62%E -7.27%K -11.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 15:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -17.44%E -7.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-11 15:15
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.59%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.21%EV -7.61%E -2.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.21%EV -21.71%E -8.25%K -13.32%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-11 15:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.49%E -4.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.42%E -4.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 15:14
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 15:15
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 15:15
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 15:15
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 15:13
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 15:15
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 15:15
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -7.61%E -2.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -7.61%E -2.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.77%EV -9.72%E -3.78%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.49%EV -9.80%E -3.23%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 15:11
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.17%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 15:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 35.24%EV -13.30%E -5.39%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.24%EV -13.23%E -5.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.51%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-11 15:15
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -14.00%E -5.72%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -7.12%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 15:13
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -14.00%E -5.72%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.66%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 15:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -14.00%E -5.72%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.32%EV -8.66%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 15:13
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.66%EV -15.76%E -6.57%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -10.42%E -4.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.84%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 15:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-04-11 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-04-11 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-04-11 15:15
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28%1.5%2026-04-11 15:15
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 34.86%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.71%1.7%2026-04-11 15:15