La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Avellino v US Catanzaro 1929
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Avellino (Local)
Predicción 35.10%2.85momio equitativo
EV -0.665%
Ventaja -0.235%
Kelly -0.363%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.38%35.02%35.16%37.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.592.602.8341.67%38.67%38.46%35.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
US Catanzaro 1929 (Visitante)
Predicción 35.13%2.85momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.584%
Kelly -0.909%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.91%35.07%35.15%37.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.622.652.8042.55%38.19%37.74%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.77%3.36momio equitativo
EV -1.76%
Ventaja -0.534%
Kelly -0.766%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.67%29.91%29.70%33.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.633.063.103.3038.02%32.66%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.25%EV -0.665%E -0.235%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.99%EV -2.69%E -0.971%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| theScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -3.47%E -1.26%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -13.93%E -5.69%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -1.76%E -0.534%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.91%EV -6.20%E -2.32%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| FanDuel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -1.64%E -0.584%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -15.69%E -6.54%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| BetUS | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.73%EV -6.63%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.47%EV -5.85%E -2.18%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 15:09 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -6.98%E -2.64%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -3.39%E -1.23%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.98%E -2.64%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.98%E -2.64%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -6.98%E -2.64%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -8.66%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.64I 37.88%NM 34.67%EV -7.33%E -2.78%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.41%EV -6.55%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 30.92%EV -11.88%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.64I 37.88%NM 34.67%EV -7.33%E -2.78%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.41%EV -6.55%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 30.92%EV -11.88%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| Betsson | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| Betway | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.66%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.01%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -19.62%E -7.27%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.66%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| Bet Right | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.66%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.17%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.17%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.17%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.18%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -19.62%E -7.27%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -17.44%E -7.42%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.59%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.21%EV -7.61%E -2.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.21%EV -21.71%E -8.25%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.49%E -4.11%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.42%E -4.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:13 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| betPARX | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -7.61%E -2.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -7.61%E -2.89%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.77%EV -9.72%E -3.78%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.49%EV -9.80%E -3.23%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 15:11 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.17%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.24%EV -13.30%E -5.39%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.24%EV -13.23%E -5.36%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.51%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -14.00%E -5.72%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -7.12%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 15:13 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -14.00%E -5.72%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.66%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -14.00%E -5.72%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.32%EV -8.66%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 15:13 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.66%EV -15.76%E -6.57%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -10.42%E -4.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.84%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.86% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.71% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 15:15 |