A Escola das Odds

Avellino v US Catanzaro 1929

Início: 2026-04-11 15:17 UTC

Final: Avellino 1–1 US Catanzaro 1929

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Avellino (Local)

Previsão 35.10%2.85odd justa
EV -0.665%
Vantagem -0.235%
Kelly -0.363%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.38%35.02%35.16%37.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.592.602.8341.67%38.67%38.46%35.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

US Catanzaro 1929 (Visitante)

Previsão 35.13%2.85odd justa
EV -1.64%
Vantagem -0.584%
Kelly -0.909%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.91%35.07%35.15%37.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.352.622.652.8042.55%38.19%37.74%35.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.77%3.36odd justa
EV -1.76%
Vantagem -0.534%
Kelly -0.766%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.67%29.91%29.70%33.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.633.063.103.3038.02%32.66%32.26%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.83I 35.34%NM 34.25%EV -0.665%E -0.235%K -0.363%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.99%EV -2.69%E -0.971%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 15:14
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -3.47%E -1.26%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -13.93%E -5.69%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 15:15
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -1.76%E -0.534%K -0.766%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 15:14
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 15:15
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 15:15
Marathon Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.91%EV -6.20%E -2.32%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 15:14
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -1.64%E -0.584%K -0.909%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 15:14
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:15
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -5.23%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -15.69%E -6.54%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 15:15
BetUS2.66I 37.59%NM 34.73%EV -6.63%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.47%EV -5.85%E -2.18%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 15:09
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -6.98%E -2.64%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -3.39%E -1.23%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 15:14
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.98%E -2.64%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 15:15
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.98%E -2.64%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 15:15
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -6.98%E -2.64%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -8.66%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 15:15
BetOnline.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 34.67%EV -7.33%E -2.78%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.41%EV -6.55%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.92%EV -11.88%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 15:15
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 34.67%EV -7.33%E -2.78%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.41%EV -6.55%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.92%EV -11.88%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 15:14
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:14
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:14
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.66%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 15:14
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 15:14
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 15:15
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 15:14
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 15:14
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.01%EV -8.04%E -3.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -19.62%E -7.27%K -11.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 15:15
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.66%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 15:14
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.66%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 15:14
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.17%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 15:14
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.17%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.17%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 15:15
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.18%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -19.62%E -7.27%K -11.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 15:15
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -17.44%E -7.42%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-11 15:15
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.59%EV -8.74%E -3.36%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.21%EV -7.61%E -2.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.21%EV -21.71%E -8.25%K -13.32%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-11 15:15
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.49%E -4.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.42%E -4.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 15:14
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 15:15
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 15:15
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 15:15
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 15:15
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 15:13
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 15:15
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 15:15
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 15:15
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 15:15
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 15:15
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -7.61%E -2.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 15:15
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -7.61%E -2.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 15:15
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.77%EV -9.72%E -3.78%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.49%EV -9.80%E -3.23%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 15:11
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.25%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.17%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.69%E -3.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 15:15
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 35.24%EV -13.30%E -5.39%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.24%EV -13.23%E -5.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.51%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-11 15:15
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -14.00%E -5.72%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -7.12%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 15:13
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -14.00%E -5.72%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.66%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 15:15
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -14.00%E -5.72%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.32%EV -8.66%E -3.33%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 15:13
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.66%EV -15.76%E -6.57%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -10.42%E -4.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.84%EV -9.20%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 15:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-04-11 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-04-11 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-04-11 15:15
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28%1.5%2026-04-11 15:15
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 34.86%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.71%1.7%2026-04-11 15:15