StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Avellino v Modena

Matchstart: 2026-05-08 18:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Avellino 1–0 Modena

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Avellino (Hemma)

Prognos 62.72%1.59rättvist odds
EV -2.16%
Fördel -1.39%
Kelly -3.87%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.56

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
59.31%62.56%62.70%64.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.381.491.481.5672.46%67.17%67.57%64.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Modena (Borta)

Prognos 14.70%6.80rättvist odds
EV +6.54%
Fördel +0.903%
Kelly +1.05%
Tillväxt +0.069%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
13.08%14.76%14.73%16.94%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.206.006.007.2519.23%16.66%16.67%13.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 22.59%4.43rättvist odds
EV -2.19%
Fördel -0.505%
Kelly -0.657%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.77%22.67%22.57%23.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.703.973.904.3327.03%25.17%25.64%23.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Avellino (Hemma): 62.72%; Modena (Borta): 14.70%; Oavgjort: 22.59%. För Modena (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.80. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 7.25, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +6.54%.

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.22%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.08%EV +6.54%E +0.903%K +1.05%G +0.069%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.32%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.62%EV -0.069%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.32%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.62%EV -0.069%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:23
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.55%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.71%EV -0.804%E -0.119%K -0.140%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.84%EV -8.44%E -5.78%K -18.34%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.23%EV -3.74%E -0.571%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -4.00%E -0.940%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:25
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.26%EV -3.42%E -2.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.99%EV -5.80%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 18:20
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.17%EV -4.05%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 18:20
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -2.19%E -0.505%K -0.657%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -6.55%E -4.40%K -13.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 18:25
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 17:58
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.26%EV -8.44%E -5.78%K -18.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 18:24
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.75%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.12%EV -6.25%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 18:24
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.38%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:25
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 18:24
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 18:25
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 18:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.32%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 18:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.85%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.93%EV -5.95%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%EV -2.87%E -0.667%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 18:24
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -8.15%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.67%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV -8.89%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:14
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.37%EV -6.55%E -4.40%K -13.38%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV -10.36%E -1.70%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.39%EV -6.25%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 18:25
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.37%EV -6.55%E -4.40%K -13.38%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV -10.36%E -1.70%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.39%EV -6.25%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 18:24
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.05%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 17:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 18:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 18:19
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 18:25
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-08 17:58
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -12.20%E -8.71%K -30.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-08 18:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.16%EV -13.45%E -9.75%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.77%EV -13.30%E -2.25%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.07%EV -10.77%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-08 18:24
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -15.50%E -2.70%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -15.50%E -2.70%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 18:24
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -15.50%E -2.70%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.34%EV -8.44%E -5.78%K -18.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.58%EV -15.50%E -2.70%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.08%EV -12.35%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.37%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -15.50%E -2.70%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-08 17:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.19%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -16.23%E -2.85%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 18:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -2.16%E -1.39%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 18:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -2.16%E -1.39%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -2.16%E -1.39%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:20
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:20
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:19
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:20
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.34%EV -3.42%E -2.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -20.64%E -3.82%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -4.05%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -20.64%E -3.82%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -4.05%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -20.64%E -3.82%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.30%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -20.64%E -3.82%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -10.77%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-08 18:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.10%EV -10.94%E -7.71%K -26.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.07%EV -20.64%E -3.82%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.83%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-08 18:25
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.44%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.94%EV -22.11%E -4.17%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-08 18:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.36%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.89%EV -23.58%E -4.54%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -16.42%E -4.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-08 18:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-05-08 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-05-08 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-05-08 18:20
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-05-08 18:05
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-05-08 18:20