L’École des cotesAvellino v Modena
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Avellino (Local)
Prévision 62.72%1.59cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -1.39%
Kelly -3.87%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.31%62.56%62.70%64.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.491.481.5672.46%67.17%67.57%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Modena (Visiteur)
Prévision 14.70%6.80cote équitable
EV +6.54%
Avantage +0.903%
Kelly +1.05%
Croissance +0.069%
avec la cote maximale 7.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.08%14.76%14.73%16.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.206.006.007.2519.23%16.66%16.67%13.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.59%4.43cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -0.505%
Kelly -0.657%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.77%22.67%22.57%23.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.703.973.904.3327.03%25.17%25.64%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.22%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.08%EV +6.54%E +0.903%K +1.05%G +0.069% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.32%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.62%EV -0.069%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.32%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.62%EV -0.069%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 18:23 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.55%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.71%EV -0.804%E -0.119%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.84%EV -8.44%E -5.78%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.23%EV -3.74%E -0.571%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -4.00%E -0.940%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.26%EV -3.42%E -2.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.99%EV -5.80%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.17%EV -4.05%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Betway | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -2.19%E -0.505%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -6.55%E -4.40%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 17:58 |
| Bovada | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.26%EV -8.44%E -5.78%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| BetUS | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.75%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.12%EV -6.25%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Bet Right | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.38%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.32%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.85%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.93%EV -5.95%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%EV -2.87%E -0.667%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -8.15%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.67%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV -8.89%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.37%EV -6.55%E -4.40%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV -10.36%E -1.70%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.39%EV -6.25%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| Betsson | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.37%EV -6.55%E -4.40%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV -10.36%E -1.70%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.39%EV -6.25%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.05%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 17:58 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -12.20%E -8.71%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.16%EV -13.45%E -9.75%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.77%EV -13.30%E -2.25%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.07%EV -10.77%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -15.50%E -2.70%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -15.50%E -2.70%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -15.50%E -2.70%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.34%EV -8.44%E -5.78%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.58%EV -15.50%E -2.70%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.08%EV -12.35%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.37%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -15.50%E -2.70%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-08 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.19%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -16.23%E -2.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -2.16%E -1.39%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -2.16%E -1.39%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -2.16%E -1.39%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Casumo | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| betPARX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.34%EV -3.42%E -2.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -20.64%E -3.82%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -4.05%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -20.64%E -3.82%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -4.05%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -20.64%E -3.82%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.30%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -20.64%E -3.82%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -10.77%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.10%EV -10.94%E -7.71%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.07%EV -20.64%E -3.82%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.83%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.44%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.94%EV -22.11%E -4.17%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.36%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.89%EV -23.58%E -4.54%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -16.42%E -4.44%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 18:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |