La escuela de los momiosAvellino v Modena
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Avellino (Local)
Predicción 62.72%1.59momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -3.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.31%62.56%62.70%64.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.491.481.5672.46%67.17%67.57%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Modena (Visitante)
Predicción 14.70%6.80momio equitativo
EV +6.54%
Ventaja +0.903%
Kelly +1.05%
Crecimiento +0.069%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.08%14.76%14.73%16.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.206.006.007.2519.23%16.66%16.67%13.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.59%4.43momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -0.505%
Kelly -0.657%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.77%22.67%22.57%23.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.703.973.904.3327.03%25.17%25.64%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.22%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.08%EV +6.54%E +0.903%K +1.05%G +0.069% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.32%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.62%EV -0.069%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.32%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.62%EV -0.069%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 18:23 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.55%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.71%EV -0.804%E -0.119%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.84%EV -8.44%E -5.78%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.23%EV -3.74%E -0.571%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -4.00%E -0.940%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.26%EV -3.42%E -2.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.99%EV -5.80%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.17%EV -4.05%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Betway | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -2.19%E -0.505%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -6.55%E -4.40%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 17:58 |
| Bovada | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.26%EV -8.44%E -5.78%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| BetUS | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.75%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.12%EV -6.25%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Bet Right | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.38%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.32%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.85%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.93%EV -5.95%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%EV -2.87%E -0.667%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -8.15%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.67%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV -8.89%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.37%EV -6.55%E -4.40%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV -10.36%E -1.70%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.39%EV -6.25%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| Betsson | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.37%EV -6.55%E -4.40%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV -10.36%E -1.70%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.39%EV -6.25%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.05%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 17:58 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -12.20%E -8.71%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.16%EV -13.45%E -9.75%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.77%EV -13.30%E -2.25%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.07%EV -10.77%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -15.50%E -2.70%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -15.50%E -2.70%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -15.50%E -2.70%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.34%EV -8.44%E -5.78%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.58%EV -15.50%E -2.70%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.08%EV -12.35%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.37%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -15.50%E -2.70%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-08 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.19%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -16.23%E -2.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -2.16%E -1.39%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -2.16%E -1.39%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -2.16%E -1.39%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Casumo | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| betPARX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.34%EV -3.42%E -2.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -20.64%E -3.82%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -4.05%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -20.64%E -3.82%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -4.05%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -20.64%E -3.82%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.30%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -20.64%E -3.82%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -10.77%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.10%EV -10.94%E -7.71%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.07%EV -20.64%E -3.82%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.83%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.44%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.94%EV -22.11%E -4.17%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.36%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.89%EV -23.58%E -4.54%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -16.42%E -4.44%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 18:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |