La scuola delle quote

Avellino v Modena

Inizio: 2026-05-08 18:30 UTC

Finale: Avellino 1–0 Modena

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

55 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Avellino (Casa)

Previsione 62.72%1.59quota equa
EV -2.16%
Vantaggio -1.39%
Kelly -3.87%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.31%62.56%62.70%64.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.381.491.481.5672.46%67.17%67.57%64.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Modena (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.70%6.80quota equa
EV +6.54%
Vantaggio +0.903%
Kelly +1.05%
Crescita +0.069%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.08%14.76%14.73%16.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.206.006.007.2519.23%16.66%16.67%13.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.59%4.43quota equa
EV -2.19%
Vantaggio -0.505%
Kelly -0.657%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.77%22.67%22.57%23.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.703.973.904.3327.03%25.17%25.64%23.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.22%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.08%EV +6.54%E +0.903%K +1.05%G +0.069%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 18:25
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 64.32%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.62%EV -0.069%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:24
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 64.32%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.62%EV -0.069%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:23
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.55%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.71%EV -0.804%E -0.119%K -0.140%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:25
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.84%EV -8.44%E -5.78%K -18.34%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.23%EV -3.74%E -0.571%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -4.00%E -0.940%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:25
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.26%EV -3.42%E -2.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.99%EV -5.80%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 18:20
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.17%EV -4.05%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 18:20
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -2.19%E -0.505%K -0.657%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 18:20
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -6.55%E -4.40%K -13.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 18:25
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 17:58
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 63.26%EV -8.44%E -5.78%K -18.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 18:24
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 63.75%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.12%EV -6.25%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 18:24
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 62.38%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:25
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 18:24
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 18:25
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 18:24
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.32%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -4.48%E -0.689%K -0.814%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 18:25
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.85%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.93%EV -5.95%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%EV -2.87%E -0.667%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 18:24
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -8.15%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:24
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.67%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV -8.89%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:14
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.37%EV -6.55%E -4.40%K -13.38%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV -10.36%E -1.70%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.39%EV -6.25%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 18:25
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.37%EV -6.55%E -4.40%K -13.38%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV -10.36%E -1.70%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.39%EV -6.25%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 18:24
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.05%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 17:19
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:24
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 18:19
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 18:19
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 18:20
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 18:25
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 18:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-08 17:58
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -12.20%E -8.71%K -30.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -11.83%E -1.97%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-08 18:25
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.16%EV -13.45%E -9.75%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.77%EV -13.30%E -2.25%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.07%EV -10.77%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-08 18:24
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -15.50%E -2.70%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -15.50%E -2.70%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 18:24
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.72%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -15.50%E -2.70%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 18:25
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.34%EV -8.44%E -5.78%K -18.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.58%EV -15.50%E -2.70%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.08%EV -12.35%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 18:25
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.37%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -15.50%E -2.70%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-08 17:59
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.19%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -16.23%E -2.85%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 18:24
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -2.16%E -1.39%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 18:19
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -2.16%E -1.39%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 18:20
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -2.16%E -1.39%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 18:19
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:20
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:20
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:20
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:19
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:20
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -19.17%E -3.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.34%EV -3.42%E -2.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -20.64%E -3.82%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -13.03%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -4.05%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -20.64%E -3.82%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 18:20
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -4.05%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -20.64%E -3.82%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.30%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -20.64%E -3.82%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -10.77%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-08 18:24
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.10%EV -10.94%E -7.71%K -26.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.07%EV -20.64%E -3.82%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.83%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-08 18:25
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 59.44%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.94%EV -22.11%E -4.17%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -14.16%E -3.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-08 18:19
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.36%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.89%EV -23.58%E -4.54%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -16.42%E -4.44%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-08 18:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-05-08 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-05-08 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-05-08 18:20
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-05-08 18:05
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-05-08 18:20