The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Torino v AS Roma

Kickoff: 2026-09-13 10:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Torino (Local)

Prediction 18.43%5.43fair odd
EV +13.34%
Edge +2.17%
Kelly +2.59%
Growth +0.346%

assuming max odds 6.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.65%18.27%18.44%21.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.105.025.006.1524.39%19.90%20.00%16.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AS Roma (Visit)

Prediction 55.13%1.81fair odd
EV +3.10%
Edge +1.66%
Kelly +3.56%
Growth +0.111%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.06%55.26%55.21%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.701.691.8763.29%58.83%59.17%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.44%3.78fair odd
EV +4.42%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +1.50%
Growth +0.066%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.95%26.47%26.34%29.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.533.503.9531.25%28.35%28.57%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Torino (Local): 18.43%; AS Roma (Visit): 55.13%; Draw: 26.44%. For Torino (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.43. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯6.15I 16.26%NM 15.65%EV +13.34%E +2.17%K +2.59%G +0.346%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.79%EV -11.23%E -6.98%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.56%EV +3.63%E +0.926%K +1.24%G +0.045%3.9%2026-09-06 09:54
Tipico (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +10.58%E +1.76%K +2.12%G +0.224%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 10:59
Pinnacle🎯5.85I 17.09%NM 16.17%EV +7.81%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.126%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.88%EV -12.89%E -8.16%K -22.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV +4.42%E +1.12%K +1.50%G +0.066%5.7%2026-09-06 09:45
Betsson🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -0.479%E -0.089%K -0.109%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 14:59
NordicBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -0.479%E -0.089%K -0.109%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 14:59
1xBet🎯5.26I 19.01%NM 18.71%EV -3.06%E -0.582%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.68%EV -0.759%E -0.422%K -0.948%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60%EV -2.19%E -0.591%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-31 14:10
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -3.24%E -0.618%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.72%E -3.35%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 13:55
Bovada🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.42%EV -4.16%E -0.801%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.69%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -2.19%E -0.591%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 20:54
SportsBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV -6.01%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.63%EV -5.72%E -3.35%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -2.19%E -0.591%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 13:55
FanDuel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.01%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.06%EV +3.10%E +1.66%K +3.56%G +0.111%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -15.40%E -4.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 16:10
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 13:50
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 21:10
Betr (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 13:50
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.84%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 21:10
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.84%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 21:10
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 13:50
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 21:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 21:45
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 21:40
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 21:40
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 07:25
TAB🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -9.03%E -5.47%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 03:15
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -9.03%E -5.47%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 10:35
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.32%EV -11.23%E -6.98%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-03 20:12
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.46%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 13:49
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.46%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 21:04
Betclic (FR)🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.60%EV -14.30%E -3.08%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.60%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 10:58
Codere (IT)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.06%EV +0.895%E +0.489%K +1.08%G +0.010%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 21:45
LeoVegas🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 11:00
Unibet (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.32%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.53%EV -10.13%E -6.22%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 11:00
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -17.07%E -3.79%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 11:00
Winamax (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.00%EV -24.44%E -5.96%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 52.50%EV -9.58%E -5.84%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.49%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-31 11:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎5.26I 19.01%NM 18.25%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%4.2%2026-08-31 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%10.0%2026-09-02 04:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%10.0%2026-09-02 04:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%11.3%2026-09-02 04:05
Smarkets◎3.60I 27.78%NM 22.78%1.59I 62.89%NM 51.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.63%21.9%2026-09-02 04:25