默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Torino v AS Roma

开赛时间: 2026-09-13 10:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

36 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Torino (主队)

预测 18.43%5.43公平赔率
EV +13.34%
优势 +2.17%
Kelly +2.59%
增长率 +0.346%

假设最高赔率为 6.15

博彩公司预测分布
15.65%18.27%18.44%21.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.105.025.006.1524.39%19.90%20.00%16.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

AS Roma (客队)

预测 55.13%1.81公平赔率
EV +3.10%
优势 +1.66%
Kelly +3.56%
增长率 +0.111%

假设最高赔率为 1.87

博彩公司预测分布
51.06%55.26%55.21%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.581.701.691.8763.29%58.83%59.17%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.44%3.78公平赔率
EV +4.42%
优势 +1.12%
Kelly +1.50%
增长率 +0.066%

假设最高赔率为 3.95

博彩公司预测分布
23.95%26.47%26.34%29.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.533.503.9531.25%28.35%28.57%25.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Torino (主队):18.43%;AS Roma (客队):55.13%;平局:26.44%。 对于“Torino (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.43。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.15,对应+13.34%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Marathon Bet🎯6.15I 16.26%NM 15.65%EV +13.34%E +2.17%K +2.59%G +0.346%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.79%EV -11.23%E -6.98%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.56%EV +3.63%E +0.926%K +1.24%G +0.045%3.9%2026-09-06 09:54
Tipico (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +10.58%E +1.76%K +2.12%G +0.224%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 10:59
Pinnacle🎯5.85I 17.09%NM 16.17%EV +7.81%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.126%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.88%EV -12.89%E -8.16%K -22.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV +4.42%E +1.12%K +1.50%G +0.066%5.7%2026-09-06 09:45
Betsson🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -0.479%E -0.089%K -0.109%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 14:59
NordicBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -0.479%E -0.089%K -0.109%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 14:59
1xBet🎯5.26I 19.01%NM 18.71%EV -3.06%E -0.582%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.68%EV -0.759%E -0.422%K -0.948%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60%EV -2.19%E -0.591%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-31 14:10
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -3.24%E -0.618%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.72%E -3.35%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 13:55
Bovada🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.42%EV -4.16%E -0.801%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.69%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -2.19%E -0.591%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 20:54
SportsBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV -6.01%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.63%EV -5.72%E -3.35%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -2.19%E -0.591%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 13:55
FanDuel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.01%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.06%EV +3.10%E +1.66%K +3.56%G +0.111%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -15.40%E -4.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 16:10
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 13:50
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 21:10
Betr (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 13:50
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.84%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 21:10
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.84%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 21:10
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 13:50
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 21:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 21:45
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 21:40
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 21:40
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 07:25
TAB🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -9.03%E -5.47%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 03:15
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -9.03%E -5.47%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 10:35
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.32%EV -11.23%E -6.98%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-03 20:12
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.46%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 13:49
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.46%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 21:04
Betclic (FR)🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.60%EV -14.30%E -3.08%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.60%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 10:58
Codere (IT)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.06%EV +0.895%E +0.489%K +1.08%G +0.010%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 21:45
LeoVegas🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 11:00
Unibet (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.32%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.53%EV -10.13%E -6.22%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 11:00
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -17.07%E -3.79%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 11:00
Winamax (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.00%EV -24.44%E -5.96%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 52.50%EV -9.58%E -5.84%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.49%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-31 11:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎5.26I 19.01%NM 18.25%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%4.2%2026-08-31 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%10.0%2026-09-02 04:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%10.0%2026-09-02 04:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%11.3%2026-09-02 04:05
Smarkets◎3.60I 27.78%NM 22.78%1.59I 62.89%NM 51.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.63%21.9%2026-09-02 04:25