Langue:Français
Torino v AS Roma
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Torino (Local)
Prévision 18.43%5.43cote équitable
EV +13.34%
Avantage +2.17%
Kelly +2.59%
Croissance +0.346%
avec la cote maximale 6.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.65%18.27%18.44%21.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.105.025.006.1524.39%19.90%20.00%16.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
AS Roma (Visiteur)
Prévision 55.13%1.81cote équitable
EV +3.10%
Avantage +1.66%
Kelly +3.56%
Croissance +0.111%
avec la cote maximale 1.87
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.06%55.26%55.21%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.581.701.691.8763.29%58.83%59.17%53.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 26.44%3.78cote équitable
EV +4.42%
Avantage +1.12%
Kelly +1.50%
Croissance +0.066%
avec la cote maximale 3.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.95%26.47%26.34%29.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.533.503.9531.25%28.35%28.57%25.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Torino (Local) : 18.43% ; AS Roma (Visiteur) : 55.13% ; Match nul : 26.44%. Pour Torino (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.43. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.15, soit une espérance positive de +13.34%.
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.65%EV +13.34%E +2.17%K +2.59%G +0.346% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.79%EV -11.23%E -6.98%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.56%EV +3.63%E +0.926%K +1.24%G +0.045% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 09:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +10.58%E +1.76%K +2.12%G +0.224% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.17%EV +7.81%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.126% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.88%EV -12.89%E -8.16%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV +4.42%E +1.12%K +1.50%G +0.066% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -0.479%E -0.089%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -0.479%E -0.089%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 14:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.71%EV -3.06%E -0.582%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.68%EV -0.759%E -0.422%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60%EV -2.19%E -0.591%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-31 14:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -3.24%E -0.618%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.72%E -3.35%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 13:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.42%EV -4.16%E -0.801%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.69%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -2.19%E -0.591%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 20:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV -6.01%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.63%EV -5.72%E -3.35%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -2.19%E -0.591%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 13:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.01%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-31 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.06%EV +3.10%E +1.66%K +3.56%G +0.111% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -15.40%E -4.81%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 21:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.84%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 21:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.84%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 21:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-31 07:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -9.03%E -5.47%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-03 03:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -9.03%E -5.47%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-03 10:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.32%EV -11.23%E -6.98%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-03 20:12 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.46%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-31 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.46%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 21:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.60%EV -14.30%E -3.08%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.60%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-31 10:58 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.06%EV +0.895%E +0.489%K +1.08%G +0.010% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 21:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.32%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.53%EV -10.13%E -6.22%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -17.07%E -3.79%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.00%EV -24.44%E -5.96%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 52.50%EV -9.58%E -5.84%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.49%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.25% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 04:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 04:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64% | 11.3% | 2026-09-02 04:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 22.78% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 51.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 25.63% | 21.9% | 2026-09-02 04:25 |