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Torino v AS Roma
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Torino (Local)
Predicción 18.43%5.43momio equitativo
EV +13.34%
Ventaja +2.17%
Kelly +2.59%
Crecimiento +0.346%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.65%18.27%18.44%21.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.105.025.006.1524.39%19.90%20.00%16.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
AS Roma (Visitante)
Predicción 55.13%1.81momio equitativo
EV +3.10%
Ventaja +1.66%
Kelly +3.56%
Crecimiento +0.111%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.06%55.26%55.21%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.581.701.691.8763.29%58.83%59.17%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.44%3.78momio equitativo
EV +4.42%
Ventaja +1.12%
Kelly +1.50%
Crecimiento +0.066%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.95%26.47%26.34%29.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.533.503.9531.25%28.35%28.57%25.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Torino (Local): 18.43%; AS Roma (Visitante): 55.13%; Empate: 26.44%. Para Torino (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.43. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.15, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +13.34%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.65%EV +13.34%E +2.17%K +2.59%G +0.346% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.79%EV -11.23%E -6.98%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.56%EV +3.63%E +0.926%K +1.24%G +0.045% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 09:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +10.58%E +1.76%K +2.12%G +0.224% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.17%EV +7.81%E +1.34%K +1.61%G +0.126% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.88%EV -12.89%E -8.16%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV +4.42%E +1.12%K +1.50%G +0.066% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -0.479%E -0.089%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -0.479%E -0.089%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 14:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.71%EV -3.06%E -0.582%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.68%EV -0.759%E -0.422%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60%EV -2.19%E -0.591%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-31 14:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -3.24%E -0.618%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.72%E -3.35%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 13:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.42%EV -4.16%E -0.801%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.69%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -2.19%E -0.591%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 20:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV -6.01%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.63%EV -5.72%E -3.35%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -2.19%E -0.591%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 13:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.01%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-31 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.06%EV +3.10%E +1.66%K +3.56%G +0.111% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -15.40%E -4.81%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 21:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.84%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 21:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.84%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 21:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-31 07:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -9.03%E -5.47%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-03 03:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -9.03%E -5.47%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-03 10:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.32%EV -11.23%E -6.98%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -6.15%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-03 20:12 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.46%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-31 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.46%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.83%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 21:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.60%EV -14.30%E -3.08%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.60%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-31 10:58 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.06%EV +0.895%E +0.489%K +1.08%G +0.010% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 21:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.32%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.53%EV -10.13%E -6.22%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -17.07%E -3.79%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.47%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.00%EV -24.44%E -5.96%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 52.50%EV -9.58%E -5.84%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.49%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.25% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 04:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 04:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64% | 11.3% | 2026-09-02 04:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 22.78% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 51.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 25.63% | 21.9% | 2026-09-02 04:25 |