StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Parma v Bologna

2026-11-07 17:00 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Parma (Hemma)

Prognos 21.37%4.68rättvist odds
EV +2.59%
Fördel +0.539%
Kelly +0.681%
Tillväxt +0.018%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.67%21.28%21.33%22.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.754.314.304.8026.67%23.22%23.26%20.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Bologna (Borta)

Prognos 51.68%1.93rättvist odds
EV -1.28%
Fördel -0.671%
Kelly -1.41%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.91

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
49.79%51.81%51.71%53.35%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.671.811.801.9159.88%55.31%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.94%3.71rättvist odds
EV -0.581%
Fördel -0.158%
Kelly -0.216%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.69

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.08%26.91%26.96%27.61%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.463.453.6931.25%28.91%28.99%27.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Parma (Hemma): 21.37%; Bologna (Borta): 51.68%; Oavgjort: 26.94%. För Parma (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.68. 1 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 4.80, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +2.59%.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Tipico (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV +2.59%E +0.539%K +0.681%G +0.018%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-01 12:35
1xBet🎯4.63I 21.60%NM 21.26%EV -1.05%E -0.226%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.07%EV -2.32%E -1.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.67%EV -0.581%E -0.158%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.6%2026-11-01 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.35%E -1.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-01 13:15
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.35%E -1.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-01 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.35%E -1.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-01 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.35%E -1.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-01 13:15
GTbets🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.41%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.98%EV -2.32%E -1.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.61%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-01 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.01%EV -4.90%E -2.66%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.73%EV -3.55%E -0.990%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-01 12:35
Pinnacle🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.77%EV -4.90%E -2.66%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.06%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 12:00
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.83%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 11:15
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-01 12:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 12:00
Codere (IT)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.17%EV -3.87%E -2.08%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 13:35
SportsBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 11:59
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 12:00
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 12:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 13:25
PlayUp🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.88%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 13:05
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.46%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 11:40
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -7.46%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-01 12:00
Casumo🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 13:15
BetRivers🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 13:15
betPARX🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 13:15
Bally Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 13:15
Caesars🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -7.48%E -4.18%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 11:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:14
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 11:15
Bovada🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.79%EV -1.28%E -0.671%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-01 11:59
LeoVegas🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 13:25
Grosvenor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.93%EV -6.45%E -3.56%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 13:15
picklebet_au🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 13:05
Everygame🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 11:53
TABtouch🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 13:15
Unibet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 13:15
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 12:00
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 12:00
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 12:00
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 11:20
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 10:54
Unibet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.53%EV -13.69%E -8.20%K -20.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-01 13:25
Betclic (FR)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 21.54%EV -11.30%E -2.72%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.37%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 13:35
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 13:15
PMU (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.81%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-01 13:15
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 22.84%EV -19.85%E -5.29%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.39%EV -12.14%E -7.14%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -13.78%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%16.7%2026-11-01 13:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%0.9%2026-11-01 12:00
Matchbook◎3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.59%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%11.4%2026-11-01 11:45
Smarkets◎4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.17%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%13.9%2026-11-01 13:25