Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Parma v Bologna

2026-11-07 17:00 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Parma (Local)

Prévision 21.37%4.68cote équitable
EV +2.59%
Avantage +0.539%
Kelly +0.681%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.67%21.28%21.33%22.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.314.304.8026.67%23.22%23.26%20.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Bologna (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.68%1.93cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.671%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.79%51.81%51.71%53.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.671.811.801.9159.88%55.31%55.56%52.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.94%3.71cote équitable
EV -0.581%
Avantage -0.158%
Kelly -0.216%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.08%26.91%26.96%27.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.463.453.6931.25%28.91%28.99%27.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Parma (Local) : 21.37% ; Bologna (Visiteur) : 51.68% ; Match nul : 26.94%. Pour Parma (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.68. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.80, pour une espérance positive de +2.59%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV +2.59%E +0.539%K +0.681%G +0.018%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-01 12:35
1xBet🎯4.63I 21.60%NM 21.26%EV -1.05%E -0.226%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.07%EV -2.32%E -1.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.67%EV -0.581%E -0.158%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.6%2026-11-01 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.35%E -1.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-01 13:15
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.35%E -1.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-01 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.35%E -1.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-01 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.35%E -1.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-01 13:15
GTbets🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.41%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.98%EV -2.32%E -1.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.61%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-01 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.01%EV -4.90%E -2.66%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.73%EV -3.55%E -0.990%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-01 12:35
Pinnacle🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.77%EV -4.90%E -2.66%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.06%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 12:00
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.83%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 11:15
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-01 12:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 12:00
Codere (IT)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.17%EV -3.87%E -2.08%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 13:35
SportsBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 11:59
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 12:00
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 12:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 13:25
PlayUp🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.88%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 13:05
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.46%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 11:40
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -7.46%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-01 12:00
Casumo🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 13:15
BetRivers🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 13:15
betPARX🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 13:15
Bally Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 13:15
Caesars🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -7.48%E -4.18%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 11:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:14
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 11:15
Bovada🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.79%EV -1.28%E -0.671%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-01 11:59
LeoVegas🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 13:25
Grosvenor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.93%EV -6.45%E -3.56%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 13:15
picklebet_au🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 13:05
Everygame🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 11:53
TABtouch🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 13:15
Unibet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 13:15
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 12:00
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 12:00
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 12:00
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 11:20
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 10:54
Unibet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.53%EV -13.69%E -8.20%K -20.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-01 13:25
Betclic (FR)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 21.54%EV -11.30%E -2.72%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.37%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 13:35
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 13:15
PMU (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.81%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-01 13:15
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 22.84%EV -19.85%E -5.29%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.39%EV -12.14%E -7.14%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -13.78%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%16.7%2026-11-01 13:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%0.9%2026-11-01 12:00
Matchbook◎3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.59%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%11.4%2026-11-01 11:45
Smarkets◎4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.17%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%13.9%2026-11-01 13:25