Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Parma v Bologna

2026-11-07 17:00 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Parma (Casa)

Previsione 21.37%4.68quota equa
EV +2.59%
Vantaggio +0.539%
Kelly +0.681%
Crescita +0.018%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.67%21.28%21.33%22.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.314.304.8026.67%23.22%23.26%20.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Bologna (Trasferta)

Previsione 51.68%1.93quota equa
EV -1.28%
Vantaggio -0.671%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.79%51.81%51.71%53.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.811.801.9159.88%55.31%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.94%3.71quota equa
EV -0.581%
Vantaggio -0.158%
Kelly -0.216%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.08%26.91%26.96%27.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.463.453.6931.25%28.91%28.99%27.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Parma (Casa): 21.37%; Bologna (Trasferta): 51.68%; Pareggio: 26.94%. Per Parma (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.68. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 4.80, con un valore atteso positivo del +2.59%.

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV +2.59%E +0.539%K +0.681%G +0.018%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-01 12:35
1xBet🎯4.63I 21.60%NM 21.26%EV -1.05%E -0.226%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.07%EV -2.32%E -1.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.67%EV -0.581%E -0.158%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.6%2026-11-01 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.35%E -1.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-01 13:15
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.35%E -1.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-01 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.35%E -1.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-01 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.35%E -1.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-01 13:15
GTbets🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.41%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.98%EV -2.32%E -1.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.61%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-01 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.01%EV -4.90%E -2.66%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.73%EV -3.55%E -0.990%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-01 12:35
Pinnacle🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.77%EV -4.90%E -2.66%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.06%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 12:00
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.83%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 11:15
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-01 12:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 12:00
Codere (IT)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.17%EV -3.87%E -2.08%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 13:35
SportsBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 11:59
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 12:00
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 12:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 13:25
PlayUp🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.88%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 13:05
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.46%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 11:40
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -7.46%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-01 12:00
Casumo🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 13:15
BetRivers🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 13:15
betPARX🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 13:15
Bally Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 13:15
Caesars🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -7.48%E -4.18%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 11:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:14
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 11:15
Bovada🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.79%EV -1.28%E -0.671%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-01 11:59
LeoVegas🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 13:25
Grosvenor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.93%EV -6.45%E -3.56%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 13:15
picklebet_au🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 13:05
Everygame🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 11:53
TABtouch🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 13:15
Unibet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 13:15
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 12:00
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 12:00
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 12:00
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 11:20
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 10:54
Unibet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.53%EV -13.69%E -8.20%K -20.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-01 13:25
Betclic (FR)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 21.54%EV -11.30%E -2.72%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.37%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 13:35
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 13:15
PMU (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.81%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-01 13:15
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 22.84%EV -19.85%E -5.29%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.39%EV -12.14%E -7.14%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -13.78%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%16.7%2026-11-01 13:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%0.9%2026-11-01 12:00
Matchbook◎3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.59%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%11.4%2026-11-01 11:45
Smarkets◎4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.17%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%13.9%2026-11-01 13:25