Language:English
Napoli v Torino
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Napoli (Local)
Prediction 65.54%1.53fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -6.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.35%65.55%65.67%67.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.421.421.4874.63%70.33%70.42%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Torino (Visit)
Prediction 12.67%7.89fair odd
EV +8.34%
Edge +0.975%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.092%
assuming max odds 8.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.26%12.64%12.63%14.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.567.508.5516.00%13.22%13.33%11.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.78%4.59fair odd
EV +0.208%
Edge +0.045%
Kelly +0.058%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.51%21.82%21.69%23.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.244.254.6025.97%23.60%23.53%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Napoli (Local): 65.54%; Torino (Visit): 12.67%; Draw: 21.78%. For Torino (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.89. 22 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.89%EV -3.65%E -2.48%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.50%EV +8.34%E +0.975%K +1.10%G +0.092% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.61%EV -0.882%E -0.194%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-02-26 21:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.66%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.70%E +0.906%K +1.03%G +0.079% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-27 09:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.66%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.70%E +0.906%K +1.03%G +0.079% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-27 09:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.66%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.70%E +0.906%K +1.03%G +0.079% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-27 09:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.66%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.70%E +0.906%K +1.03%G +0.079% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-27 09:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.89%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.47%EV +6.44%E +0.766%K +0.870%G +0.056% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.64%EV -3.06%E -0.688%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-26 21:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.47%EV +5.17%E +0.623%K +0.708%G +0.037% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -7.42%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.47%EV +5.17%E +0.623%K +0.708%G +0.037% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -7.42%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.11%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV -5.67%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 09:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 09:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 09:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 09:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 09:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 09:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 09:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 09:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 17:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-23 21:43 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-27 09:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.75%EV -11.51%E -8.53%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -10.68%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-27 09:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.75%EV -11.51%E -8.53%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -10.68%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-27 09:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.39%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.10%EV -1.17%E -0.149%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV +0.208%E +0.045%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-23 12:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.27%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 7.65I 13.07%NM 11.95%EV -3.07%E -0.401%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-27 18:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.82%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 03:37 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 14:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-23 09:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-23 09:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-22 20:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.18%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -16.13%E -4.19%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.92%EV -6.27%E -4.39%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.65%EV -5.60%E -0.752%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-22 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.92%EV -6.27%E -4.39%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.65%EV -5.60%E -0.752%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-22 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.74%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 7.43I 13.46%NM 12.74%EV -5.85%E -0.788%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 08:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.12%EV -8.13%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-22 20:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-22 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.39%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.35%EV -5.24%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 20:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -6.27%E -4.39%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-22 20:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.86%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 20:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.86%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 20:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.86%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 20:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.86%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 20:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%EV -15.04%E -3.86%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.04%EV -8.89%E -6.40%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -10.68%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-25 08:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.15%EV -12.17%E -9.08%K -35.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.47%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.38%EV -15.04%E -3.86%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-02-22 20:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.26%EV -8.89%E -6.40%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.15%EV -12.57%E -1.82%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.35%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -13.84%E -2.03%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -10.68%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.35%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -13.84%E -2.03%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -10.68%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.51%EV -10.20%E -7.45%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.39%EV -16.37%E -2.48%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.86%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-02-27 20:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -17.64%E -2.71%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 20:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.38%EV -8.89%E -6.40%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -20.81%E -3.33%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-27 20:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.91% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 58.15% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.54% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.30% | 17.0% | 2026-02-27 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 58.15% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.54% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.30% | 17.0% | 2026-02-27 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 38.32% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 44.35% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 17.33% | 77.5% | 2026-02-27 14:35 |