L’École des cotes

Napoli v Torino

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Napoli (Local)

Prévision 65.54%1.53cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -2.02%
Kelly -6.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.35%65.55%65.67%67.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.341.421.421.4874.63%70.33%70.42%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Torino (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.67%7.89cote équitable
EV +8.34%
Avantage +0.975%
Kelly +1.10%
Croissance +0.092%

avec la cote maximale 8.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.26%12.64%12.63%14.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.257.567.508.5516.00%13.22%13.33%11.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.78%4.59cote équitable
EV +0.208%
Avantage +0.045%
Kelly +0.058%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.51%21.82%21.69%23.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.854.244.254.6025.97%23.60%23.53%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 66.89%EV -3.65%E -2.48%K -7.76%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 11.50%EV +8.34%E +0.975%K +1.10%G +0.092%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.61%EV -0.882%E -0.194%K -0.248%G +0.000%1.7%2026-02-26 21:05
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.66%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.70%E +0.906%K +1.03%G +0.079%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-27 09:34
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.66%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.70%E +0.906%K +1.03%G +0.079%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-27 09:34
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.66%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.70%E +0.906%K +1.03%G +0.079%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-27 09:35
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 66.66%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.70%E +0.906%K +1.03%G +0.079%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-27 09:35
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.89%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.47%EV +6.44%E +0.766%K +0.870%G +0.056%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.64%EV -3.06%E -0.688%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 21:00
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.47%EV +5.17%E +0.623%K +0.708%G +0.037%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -7.42%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 08:34
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.47%EV +5.17%E +0.623%K +0.708%G +0.037%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -7.42%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 08:34
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.11%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV -5.67%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 20:55
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 09:35
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 09:34
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 09:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 09:35
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 09:34
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 09:34
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 09:35
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 09:34
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 17:49
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-23 21:43
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 09:34
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 66.75%EV -11.51%E -8.53%K -32.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -10.68%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-27 09:34
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 66.75%EV -11.51%E -8.53%K -32.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -10.68%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-27 09:35
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.39%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.10%EV -1.17%E -0.149%K -0.171%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV +0.208%E +0.045%K +0.058%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 12:10
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 66.27%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.13%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 11.95%EV -3.07%E -0.401%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-27 18:19
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 65.82%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 03:37
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 14:29
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 09:10
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 09:10
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 20:55
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 20:45
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 64.18%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -16.13%E -4.19%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-27 08:34
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 65.92%EV -6.27%E -4.39%K -14.58%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.65%EV -5.60%E -0.752%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 65.92%EV -6.27%E -4.39%K -14.58%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.65%EV -5.60%E -0.752%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 22:59
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 65.74%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%7.43I 13.46%NM 12.74%EV -5.85%E -0.788%K -0.910%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 08:45
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.12%EV -8.13%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 20:55
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 14:50
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 20:54
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.39%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.35%EV -5.24%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 20:20
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -6.27%E -4.39%K -14.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 20:50
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.86%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 20:50
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.86%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 20:50
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.86%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 20:50
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.86%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 20:50
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%EV -15.04%E -3.86%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-27 08:35
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 65.04%EV -8.89%E -6.40%K -22.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -10.68%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-25 08:20
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.15%EV -12.17%E -9.08%K -35.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.47%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.38%EV -15.04%E -3.86%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-22 20:54
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.26%EV -8.89%E -6.40%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.15%EV -12.57%E -1.82%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 17:30
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 63.35%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -13.84%E -2.03%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -10.68%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.35%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -13.84%E -2.03%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -10.68%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 20:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 64.51%EV -10.20%E -7.45%K -27.58%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.39%EV -16.37%E -2.48%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.86%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-27 20:20
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -17.64%E -2.71%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 20:20
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.38%EV -8.89%E -6.40%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -20.81%E -3.33%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-27 20:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%7.6%2026-02-27 08:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 58.15%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.30%17.0%2026-02-27 14:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 58.15%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.30%17.0%2026-02-27 14:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 38.32%1.27I 78.74%NM 44.35%3.25I 30.77%NM 17.33%77.5%2026-02-27 14:35