La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Napoli v Torino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Napoli (Local)
Predicción 65.54%1.53momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -2.02%
Kelly -6.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.35%65.55%65.67%67.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.421.421.4874.63%70.33%70.42%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Torino (Visitante)
Predicción 12.67%7.89momio equitativo
EV +8.34%
Ventaja +0.975%
Kelly +1.10%
Crecimiento +0.092%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.26%12.64%12.63%14.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.257.567.508.5516.00%13.22%13.33%11.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.78%4.59momio equitativo
EV +0.208%
Ventaja +0.045%
Kelly +0.058%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.51%21.82%21.69%23.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.244.254.6025.97%23.60%23.53%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.89%EV -3.65%E -2.48%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.50%EV +8.34%E +0.975%K +1.10%G +0.092% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.61%EV -0.882%E -0.194%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-02-26 21:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.66%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.70%E +0.906%K +1.03%G +0.079% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-27 09:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.66%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.70%E +0.906%K +1.03%G +0.079% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-27 09:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.66%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.70%E +0.906%K +1.03%G +0.079% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-27 09:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.66%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.70%E +0.906%K +1.03%G +0.079% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-27 09:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.89%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.47%EV +6.44%E +0.766%K +0.870%G +0.056% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.64%EV -3.06%E -0.688%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-26 21:00 |
| Betsson | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.47%EV +5.17%E +0.623%K +0.708%G +0.037% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -7.42%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.47%EV +5.17%E +0.623%K +0.708%G +0.037% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -7.42%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.11%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV -5.67%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 09:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 09:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 09:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 09:35 |
| Casumo | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 09:34 |
| Bally Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 09:34 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 09:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 09:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 17:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-23 21:43 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-27 09:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.75%EV -11.51%E -8.53%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -10.68%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-27 09:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.75%EV -11.51%E -8.53%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -10.68%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-27 09:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.39%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.10%EV -1.17%E -0.149%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV +0.208%E +0.045%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-23 12:10 |
| Fliff | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.27%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 7.65I 13.07%NM 11.95%EV -3.07%E -0.401%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-27 18:19 |
| Bovada | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.82%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 03:37 |
| FanDuel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 14:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-23 09:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-23 09:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-22 20:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.18%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -16.13%E -4.19%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.92%EV -6.27%E -4.39%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.65%EV -5.60%E -0.752%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-22 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.92%EV -6.27%E -4.39%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.65%EV -5.60%E -0.752%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-22 22:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.74%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 7.43I 13.46%NM 12.74%EV -5.85%E -0.788%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 08:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.12%EV -8.13%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 14:50 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-22 20:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-22 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.39%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.35%EV -5.24%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 20:20 |
| Betway | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -6.27%E -4.39%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-22 20:50 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.86%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 20:50 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.86%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 20:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.86%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 20:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.86%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 20:50 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%EV -15.04%E -3.86%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.04%EV -8.89%E -6.40%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -10.68%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-25 08:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.15%EV -12.17%E -9.08%K -35.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.47%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.38%EV -15.04%E -3.86%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-02-22 20:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.26%EV -8.89%E -6.40%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.15%EV -12.57%E -1.82%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 17:30 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.35%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -13.84%E -2.03%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -10.68%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.35%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -13.84%E -2.03%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -10.68%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 20:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.51%EV -10.20%E -7.45%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.39%EV -16.37%E -2.48%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.86%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-02-27 20:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -17.64%E -2.71%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 20:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.38%EV -8.89%E -6.40%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -20.81%E -3.33%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-27 20:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.91% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 08:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 58.15% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.54% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.30% | 17.0% | 2026-02-27 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 58.15% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.54% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.30% | 17.0% | 2026-02-27 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 38.32% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 44.35% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 17.33% | 77.5% | 2026-02-27 14:35 |