A Escola das Odds

Napoli v Torino

Início: 2026-03-08 14:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Napoli (Local)

Previsão 65.54%1.53odd justa
EV -2.99%
Vantagem -2.02%
Kelly -6.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.35%65.55%65.67%67.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.341.421.421.4874.63%70.33%70.42%67.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Torino (Visitante)

Previsão 12.67%7.89odd justa
EV +8.34%
Vantagem +0.975%
Kelly +1.10%
Crescimento +0.092%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.26%12.64%12.63%14.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.257.567.508.5516.00%13.22%13.33%11.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 21.78%4.59odd justa
EV +0.208%
Vantagem +0.045%
Kelly +0.058%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.51%21.82%21.69%23.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.854.244.254.6025.97%23.60%23.53%21.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 66.89%EV -3.65%E -2.48%K -7.76%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 11.50%EV +8.34%E +0.975%K +1.10%G +0.092%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.61%EV -0.882%E -0.194%K -0.248%G +0.000%1.7%2026-02-26 21:05
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.66%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.70%E +0.906%K +1.03%G +0.079%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-27 09:34
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.66%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.70%E +0.906%K +1.03%G +0.079%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-27 09:34
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.66%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.70%E +0.906%K +1.03%G +0.079%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-27 09:35
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 66.66%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +7.70%E +0.906%K +1.03%G +0.079%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-27 09:35
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.89%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.47%EV +6.44%E +0.766%K +0.870%G +0.056%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.64%EV -3.06%E -0.688%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 21:00
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.47%EV +5.17%E +0.623%K +0.708%G +0.037%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -7.42%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 08:34
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.47%EV +5.17%E +0.623%K +0.708%G +0.037%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -7.42%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 08:34
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.11%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV -5.67%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 20:55
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 09:35
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 09:34
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 09:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 09:35
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 09:34
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 09:34
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 66.48%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 09:35
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 09:34
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 17:49
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-23 21:43
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 09:34
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 66.75%EV -11.51%E -8.53%K -32.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -10.68%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-27 09:34
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 66.75%EV -11.51%E -8.53%K -32.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV +1.37%E +0.171%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -10.68%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-27 09:35
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.39%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.10%EV -1.17%E -0.149%K -0.171%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV +0.208%E +0.045%K +0.058%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 12:10
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 66.27%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.13%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 11.95%EV -3.07%E -0.401%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-27 18:19
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 65.82%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 03:37
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 14:29
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 09:10
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 09:10
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 20:55
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 20:45
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 64.18%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -4.97%E -0.662%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -16.13%E -4.19%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-27 08:34
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 65.92%EV -6.27%E -4.39%K -14.58%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.65%EV -5.60%E -0.752%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 65.92%EV -6.27%E -4.39%K -14.58%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.65%EV -5.60%E -0.752%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 22:59
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 65.74%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%7.43I 13.46%NM 12.74%EV -5.85%E -0.788%K -0.910%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 08:45
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.12%EV -8.13%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 20:55
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -6.33%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 14:50
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 20:54
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.39%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.35%EV -5.24%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 20:20
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -6.27%E -4.39%K -14.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 20:50
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.86%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 20:50
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.86%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 20:50
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.86%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 20:50
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -5.62%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.86%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 20:50
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%EV -15.04%E -3.86%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-27 08:35
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 65.04%EV -8.89%E -6.40%K -22.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -10.68%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-25 08:20
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.15%EV -12.17%E -9.08%K -35.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.47%EV -11.30%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.38%EV -15.04%E -3.86%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-22 20:54
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.26%EV -8.89%E -6.40%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.15%EV -12.57%E -1.82%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 17:30
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 63.35%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -13.84%E -2.03%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -10.68%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.35%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -13.84%E -2.03%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -10.68%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 20:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 64.51%EV -10.20%E -7.45%K -27.58%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.39%EV -16.37%E -2.48%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.86%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-27 20:20
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -17.64%E -2.71%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -4.15%E -0.943%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 20:20
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.38%EV -8.89%E -6.40%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -20.81%E -3.33%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -8.51%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-27 20:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%7.6%2026-02-27 08:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 58.15%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.30%17.0%2026-02-27 14:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 58.15%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.30%17.0%2026-02-27 14:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 38.32%1.27I 78.74%NM 44.35%3.25I 30.77%NM 17.33%77.5%2026-02-27 14:35