默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Napoli v Lazio

2026-11-08 11:30 UTC — Serie A - Italy

胜负盘

49 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Napoli (主队)

预测 48.70%2.05公平赔率
EV -2.59%
优势 -1.30%
Kelly -2.59%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
46.96%48.76%48.63%50.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.781.901.912.0056.18%52.74%52.36%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Lazio (客队)

预测 25.90%3.86公平赔率
EV +3.58%
优势 +0.896%
Kelly +1.19%
增长率 +0.043%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
24.07%25.90%25.88%27.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.643.654.0031.75%27.45%27.40%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.40%3.94公平赔率
EV +0.077%
优势 +0.020%
Kelly +0.026%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.94

博彩公司预测分布
24.35%25.34%25.48%26.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.663.653.9430.30%27.32%27.40%25.38%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Napoli (主队):48.70%;Lazio (客队):25.90%;平局:25.40%。 对于“Lazio (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.86。 有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为4.00,由此产生+3.58%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%EV +3.58%E +0.896%K +1.19%G +0.043%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -2.21%E -0.574%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-01 11:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%EV +3.58%E +0.896%K +1.19%G +0.043%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -2.21%E -0.574%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-01 11:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%EV +3.58%E +0.896%K +1.19%G +0.043%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -2.21%E -0.574%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-01 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -8.44%E -4.49%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV +2.29%E +0.579%K +0.776%G +0.018%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.35%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-01 11:40
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.78%EV -3.57%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 25.21%EV +1.25%E +0.320%K +0.430%G +0.005%3.94I 25.38%NM 25.02%EV +0.077%E +0.020%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.5%2026-11-01 12:45
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -0.301%E -0.078%K -0.106%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 11:40
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -0.301%E -0.078%K -0.106%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 11:40
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -0.301%E -0.078%K -0.106%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 11:40
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -0.301%E -0.078%K -0.106%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 11:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.80%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.16%EV -1.60%E -0.420%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.03%EV -2.97%E -0.778%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-01 12:45
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -6.98%E -3.65%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 12:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.50%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 12:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -8.92%E -4.77%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 11:40
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 11:40
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.96%EV -10.38%E -5.64%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -10.87%E -5.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 11:40
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -10.87%E -5.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 11:40
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.40%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -4.19%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -3.48%E -0.916%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 12:45
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -8.92%E -4.77%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -4.19%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -3.48%E -0.916%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 12:45
Caesars🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -8.44%E -4.49%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -4.19%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 13:28
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.89%EV -11.36%E -6.24%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -4.19%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -9.83%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.89%EV -11.36%E -6.24%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -4.19%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -9.83%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 11:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.84%EV -3.08%E -1.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 13:35
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -6.98%E -3.65%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 12:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.68%EV -11.85%E -6.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-01 11:40
Fanatics🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.92%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -3.48%E -0.916%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-01 13:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 13:25
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.98%E -3.65%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 12:45
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 13:18
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 13:21
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 13:15
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -8.92%E -4.77%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 12:45
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.62%EV -4.54%E -2.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -7.55%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.69%EV -1.96%E -0.506%K -0.684%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 13:25
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.83%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 13:45
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.46%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 12:45
picklebet_au🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-01 13:25
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.87%E -5.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-01 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.58%EV -13.31%E -7.48%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.3%2026-11-01 13:25
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -3.48%E -0.916%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 13:33
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 13:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -12.37%E -3.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 13:35
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.98%E -3.65%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -11.95%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.48%E -0.916%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-01 13:34
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.95%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 12:35
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.95%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 12:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.95%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 12:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.95%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 12:35
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.95%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 13:43
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 46.96%EV -11.36%E -6.24%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.13%EV -18.43%E -5.85%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.90%EV -16.18%E -4.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%17.0%2026-11-01 13:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 49.04%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%4.0%2026-11-01 12:45
Matchbook◎1.83I 54.64%NM 49.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%11.0%2026-11-01 13:50
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 47.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%13.6%2026-11-01 13:25