StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Napoli v Lazio

2026-11-08 11:30 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Napoli (Hemma)

Prognos 48.70%2.05rättvist odds
EV -2.59%
Fördel -1.30%
Kelly -2.59%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
46.96%48.76%48.63%50.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.781.901.912.0056.18%52.74%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Lazio (Borta)

Prognos 25.90%3.86rättvist odds
EV +3.58%
Fördel +0.896%
Kelly +1.19%
Tillväxt +0.043%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.07%25.90%25.88%27.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.153.643.654.0031.75%27.45%27.40%25.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.40%3.94rättvist odds
EV +0.077%
Fördel +0.020%
Kelly +0.026%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.94

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.35%25.34%25.48%26.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.663.653.9430.30%27.32%27.40%25.38%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Napoli (Hemma): 48.70%; Lazio (Borta): 25.90%; Oavgjort: 25.40%. För Lazio (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.86. 5 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 4.00, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +3.58%.

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%EV +3.58%E +0.896%K +1.19%G +0.043%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -2.21%E -0.574%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-01 11:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%EV +3.58%E +0.896%K +1.19%G +0.043%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -2.21%E -0.574%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-01 11:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%EV +3.58%E +0.896%K +1.19%G +0.043%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -2.21%E -0.574%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-01 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -8.44%E -4.49%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV +2.29%E +0.579%K +0.776%G +0.018%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.35%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-01 11:40
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.78%EV -3.57%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 25.21%EV +1.25%E +0.320%K +0.430%G +0.005%3.94I 25.38%NM 25.02%EV +0.077%E +0.020%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.5%2026-11-01 12:45
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -0.301%E -0.078%K -0.106%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 11:40
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -0.301%E -0.078%K -0.106%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 11:40
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -0.301%E -0.078%K -0.106%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 11:40
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -0.301%E -0.078%K -0.106%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 11:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.80%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.16%EV -1.60%E -0.420%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.03%EV -2.97%E -0.778%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-01 12:45
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -6.98%E -3.65%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 12:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.50%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 12:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -8.92%E -4.77%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 11:40
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 11:40
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.96%EV -10.38%E -5.64%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -10.87%E -5.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 11:40
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -10.87%E -5.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -2.89%E -0.771%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 11:40
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.40%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -4.19%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -3.48%E -0.916%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 12:45
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -8.92%E -4.77%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -4.19%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -3.48%E -0.916%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 12:45
Caesars🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -8.44%E -4.49%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -4.19%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 13:28
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.89%EV -11.36%E -6.24%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -4.19%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -9.83%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.89%EV -11.36%E -6.24%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -4.19%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -9.83%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 11:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.84%EV -3.08%E -1.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 13:35
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -6.98%E -3.65%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 12:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.68%EV -11.85%E -6.54%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-01 11:40
Fanatics🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.92%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -3.48%E -0.916%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-01 13:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 13:25
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.98%E -3.65%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 12:45
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 13:18
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 13:21
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 13:15
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -8.92%E -4.77%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 12:45
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.62%EV -4.54%E -2.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -7.55%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.69%EV -1.96%E -0.506%K -0.684%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 13:25
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.83%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 13:45
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.46%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 12:45
picklebet_au🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-01 13:25
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.87%E -5.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-01 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.58%EV -13.31%E -7.48%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -9.36%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.3%2026-11-01 13:25
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -3.48%E -0.916%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 13:33
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 13:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -12.37%E -3.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 13:35
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.98%E -3.65%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -11.95%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.48%E -0.916%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-01 13:34
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.95%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 12:35
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.95%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 12:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.95%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 12:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.95%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 12:35
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.95%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 13:43
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 46.96%EV -11.36%E -6.24%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.13%EV -18.43%E -5.85%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.90%EV -16.18%E -4.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%17.0%2026-11-01 13:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 49.04%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%4.0%2026-11-01 12:45
Matchbook◎1.83I 54.64%NM 49.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%11.0%2026-11-01 13:50
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 47.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%13.6%2026-11-01 13:25